NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	101		Excitement	7.3 [327]		MVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): +18.5%
New Jersey Nets	110		Comeback	1.6 [968]		LVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): -18.3%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.06	0.02	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.04	19	66%	0.12	4	-0.17	9	78%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	24	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	48%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	16	26%	-0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.13	0.01	16	68%	0.27	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	20	66%	0.15	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	14	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	0.00	15	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.0	23.2	15.6	26.2	2.3	37.6	129.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.2%

VAN -5.7%

NJN +6.8%

NJN +17.3%

VAN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	NJN	NBA	VAN	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	15.6	106.3	113.4	102.5
season	15.1	15.6		101.3	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.9	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	18.2	14.4	14.3	15.5	15.5
NJN	13.9	13.3	15.7	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	78	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-10	11	15.2	16.8	-1.52	14.9	12.5	2.38
Tony Massenburg	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-4	-1	15.9	15.5	0.46	11.7	14.9	-3.24
Blue Edwards	66	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-9	9	15.7	15.0	0.74	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-7	5	15.1	17.0	-1.87	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Michael Smith	58	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-7	5	15.8	15.1	0.71	15.0	13.8	1.25
Lee Mayberry	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-6	3	14.9	16.8	-1.83	14.6	14.3	0.34
Antonio Daniels	32	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	15.2	15.7	-0.45	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Bobby Hurley	30	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-3	-3	16.8	14.9	1.83	14.3	14.6	-0.34
Pete Chilcutt	35	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.23	14.6	14.4	0.16
George Lynch	29	32	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	5	-19	16.8	15.0	1.84	13.8	14.8	-0.97

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	83	80	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-2	13	14.0	17.6	-3.60	15.7	14.5	1.17
Sherman Douglas	50	48	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-3	15	15.0	14.0	1.04	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Jayson Williams	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	2	5	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.6	15.2	0.30
Kerry Kittles	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	4	1	14.5	14.5	0.04	16.0	14.5	1.48
Chris Gatling	33	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	4	1	16.8	13.3	3.52	15.7	15.4	0.35
Sam Cassell	74	73	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	6	-3	14.7	13.9	0.82	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Lucious Harris	13	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	4	1	10.5	15.1	-4.57	15.9	15.5	0.46
Michael Cage	14	12	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	7	-5	14.4	14.5	-0.08	15.2	15.6	-0.30
Brian Evans	61	61	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	10	-11	14.4	14.6	-0.18	15.1	16.2	-1.07
Don MacLean	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	13	-17	12.4	14.7	-2.26	16.9	15.4	1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 83, LAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	93.0%
BOS 104, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.96,1	92.6%
PHX 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.96,1	92.4%