NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	83		Excitement	7.1 [465]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +11.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	90		Comeback	1.5 [746]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -20.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	68%	0.13	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	117%	0.11	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	15	46%	0.06	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	12	19%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Exum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	12	28%	-0.11	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.11	-0.03	17	55%	0.24	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	7	50%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	12	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	14	63%	0.15	6	-0.17	10	60%	-0.06
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	24.1	14.5	30.1	2.5	31.6	130.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +48.0%

UTA -7.6%

LAL +8.5%

UTA -4.9%

LAL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.3	80.6	87.4	109.3
season	14.3	13.5		109.3	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		108.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.7	15.6	13.2	12.7	14.0
LAL	14.1	13.2	11.2	17.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	15.2	13.7	1.54	14.3	13.8	0.48
Jae Crowder	61	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-11	15	13.0	15.6	-2.64	14.4	13.3	1.03
Grayson Allen	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	13.8	14.0	-0.21	12.2	14.0	-1.87
Dante Exum	42	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-9	11	12.6	15.0	-2.34	14.4	13.6	0.84
Alec Burks	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-8	9	12.8	15.2	-2.39	14.9	13.1	1.80
Ricky Rubio	53	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-1	-5	15.5	12.5	2.97	12.9	15.0	-2.04
Derrick Favors	50	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	14.4	13.7	0.72	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Thabo Sefolosha	23	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-2	-3	13.6	14.2	-0.60	15.4	13.5	1.88
Royce O'Neale	57	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	0	-7	13.2	15.1	-1.87	14.4	13.4	0.97
Rudy Gobert	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	3	-13	14.8	12.2	2.67	13.3	15.3	-1.94
Joe Ingles	78	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	0	-7	14.8	11.5	3.37	13.5	15.6	-2.10

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	77	76	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-6	19	13.4	15.4	-1.99	14.1	13.9	0.24
Lonzo Ball	71	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-6	19	14.2	13.3	0.90	14.9	12.3	2.59
JaVale McGee	56	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-1	9	14.0	13.9	0.11	15.4	12.4	2.96
Brandon Ingram	80	82	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	-3	13	13.4	15.8	-2.38	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Kyle Kuzma	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	2	3	13.5	14.5	-0.96	15.1	12.6	2.53
Lance Stephenson	37	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	6	-5	15.6	13.0	2.68	12.9	14.7	-1.84
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	59	58	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	18	-29	14.6	13.0	1.55	12.6	15.9	-3.30
Tyson Chandler	43	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	8	-9	13.5	14.2	-0.76	13.2	14.6	-1.46
Josh Hart	32	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	13.9	13.9	-0.04	12.9	14.6	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.3%
VAN 101, NJN 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,1	93.0%
DET 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	93.0%