inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 96 Excitement6.7 [490] MVPBeno Udrih (SAS): +16.2%
San Antonio Spurs 107 Comeback2.0 [803] LVPMickael Pietrus (GSW): -14.2%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.090.130.071763%0.181-0.029100%0.05
Adonal Foyle0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00478%0.081-0.021100%0.01
Andris Biedrins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.001100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Will Bynum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ike Diogu-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.011342%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.011447%-0.003-0.09475%-0.00
Monta Ellis-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.050.021045%-0.052-0.0620%-0.03
Jason Richardson-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.04-0.080.011843%-0.072-0.061182%0.04
Mickael Pietrus-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.0160%-0.101-0.0400%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.07-0.00872%0.1600.002100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.060.021857%0.151-0.031100%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.040.00367%0.0700.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.06-0.02848%0.082-0.02580%-0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.02577%0.081-0.04367%-0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.02-0.00283%0.082-0.052100%0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Melvin Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.001041%0.021-0.032100%0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.06-0.060.081957%-0.023-0.071385%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.02-0.0060%-0.121-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.830.117.430.52.637.2142.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +39.3%
SAS +4.7%
GSW -1.9%
SAS +6.0%
SAS +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game15.115.515.6102.1113.8104.4
season14.816.3102.9106.0
opponent15.615.599.4104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.114.317.314.915.1
SAS17.215.714.614.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zarko Cabarkapa770.00-0.500.500.000-111113.415.3-1.8515.115.5-0.39
Will Bynum330.00-0.500.50-0.062-13156.015.4-9.448.315.7-7.40
Ike Diogu87-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-5-116.715.01.7615.115.5-0.39
Troy Murphy8283-0.14-0.360.21-0.140-111114.519.4-4.9015.813.42.42
Adonal Foyle5353-0.20-0.300.09-0.09-4-7314.316.2-1.9616.913.73.14
Derek Fisher6868-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-2-715.115.2-0.1316.213.72.55
Andris Biedrins3130-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.09-7-4-317.913.84.0814.316.1-1.76
Jason Richardson7476-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.29-2-9714.816.5-1.7915.913.62.34
Monta Ellis3838-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-9-2-716.314.31.9813.117.1-4.02
Mickael Pietrus2422-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-143-1717.914.23.7313.016.3-3.26
Mike Dunleavy8283-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.23-6-5-114.618.7-4.0415.912.73.14

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley48500.73-0.230.960.1420-92915.215.8-0.5517.013.13.89
Tony Parker68670.390.110.280.10101915.216.2-0.9614.716.2-1.52
Tim Duncan67680.380.120.270.1292716.413.33.0914.816.1-1.30
Robert Horry42420.340.160.180.05101914.016.7-2.6315.714.71.00
Brent Barry29300.240.26-0.020.0374314.016.2-2.1716.714.42.29
Nazr Mohammed48460.130.37-0.240.19-213-1517.213.73.5814.515.7-1.21
Beno Udrih29300.110.39-0.280.08110-914.915.8-0.8215.315.00.29
Rasho Nesterovic22230.100.40-0.31-0.0247-313.516.1-2.5516.514.71.83
Bruce Bowen56550.080.42-0.340.14-213-1516.414.22.1613.916.9-3.09
Manu Ginobili58560.000.50-0.490.00011-1115.914.81.0814.815.6-0.83
Melvin Sanders330.000.50-0.500.06-213-158.315.7-7.406.015.4-9.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 85, NOP 960.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,193.8%
CHA 93, DAL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.53,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.84,0.99,193.3%
UTA 83, LAL 900.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.98,193.3%