NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	6.5 [519]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +20.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	96		Comeback	1.2 [1072]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): -19.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	0%	-0.12
Xavier Henry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.11	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	12	32%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.10	0.04	9	45%	-0.08	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.16	0.12	0.07	18	68%	0.26	2	-0.06	11	73%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	7	71%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arinze Onuaku	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	28%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	0.00	15	38%	-0.02	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.7	28.8	15.6	22.7	1.6	30.6	130.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +23.8%

NOP +9.9%

LAL -3.6%

NOP +20.3%

LAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOP	NBA	LAL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	15.1	88.5	99.0	105.2
season	14.0	15.5		102.9	105.6
opponent	15.3	14.8		108.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.9	14.0	17.2	13.3	15.0
NOP	14.1	15.4	15.5	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	34	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-17	23	14.0	15.6	-1.56	16.1	14.2	1.83
Wesley Johnson	43	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-14	17	14.3	15.6	-1.28	16.2	13.8	2.44
Jordan Hill	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	14.5	15.5	-0.94	16.0	13.9	2.05
Chris Kaman	46	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-3	-5	16.1	14.0	2.03	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Jordan Farmar	45	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-11	11	14.3	15.6	-1.36	16.0	13.8	2.21
Jodie Meeks	82	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	15.0	14.9	0.10	15.0	14.0	0.96
Pau Gasol	54	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	5	-21	15.6	14.2	1.42	13.7	16.4	-2.71
Nick Young	56	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	6	-23	15.4	14.4	0.96	13.9	16.3	-2.35
Steve Blake	75	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	1	-13	15.2	14.3	0.87	14.2	17.0	-2.74

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	51	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.05	19	-8	27	15.5	14.1	1.42	15.2	14.8	0.40
Anthony Davis	75	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-3	17	14.5	16.0	-1.45	15.7	12.9	2.76
Jason Smith	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	2	7	13.9	16.4	-2.54	15.2	14.6	0.59
Jrue Holiday	81	79	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	5	1	14.7	15.3	-0.57	15.0	15.1	-0.13
Anthony Morrow	33	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	11	-11	15.5	14.5	1.03	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Eric Gordon	65	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	4	3	14.2	16.2	-2.02	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Brian Roberts	21	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	13	-15	16.9	14.3	2.58	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Greg Stiemsma	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	9	-7	16.6	13.8	2.87	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Lance Thomas	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	10	-9	16.0	14.5	1.49	13.6	15.4	-1.84
Austin Rivers	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	8.0	14.9	-6.91	0.0	15.0	-15.01
Jeff Withey	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	8.0	14.9	-6.91	0.0	15.0	-15.01
Arinze Onuaku	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	8.0	14.9	-6.91	0.0	15.0	-15.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	39	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	12	-13	13.9	15.4	-1.48	15.9	14.4	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.8%
BOS 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.97,0.99,1	93.5%
BKN 93, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.2%