NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	93		Excitement	6.7 [470]		MVP	Alan Anderson (BKN): +21.1%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.4 [862]		LVP	Mirza Teletovic (BKN): -19.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	7	81%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Morris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	14	61%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.02	10	70%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Jerome Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-0.04	12	21%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	9	17%	-0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.11	-0.05	17	47%	0.19	1	-0.02	9	56%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.06	0.02	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	9	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	58%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	7	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	1.8	29.1	16.8	27.6	0.8	26.0	122.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.3%

DET +10.3%

BKN -5.2%

DET +16.5%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.1	98.9	105.4	104.2
season	15.3	15.7		102.9	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.1	16.6	14.0	15.8	15.4
DET	14.9	15.4	16.7	14.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	52	52	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.12	6	-11	17	15.1	15.7	-0.66	15.8	15.0	0.77
Jerome Jordan	11	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	14.4	15.5	-1.14	18.9	15.0	3.89
Kevin Garnett	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	16.2	14.9	1.33	16.1	15.1	1.05
Mirza Teletovic	37	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-5	5	15.6	15.2	0.41	16.9	14.5	2.47
Darius Morris	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-4	3	15.3	15.4	-0.11	17.4	14.2	3.16
Sergey Karasev	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	1	-7	16.2	15.1	1.12	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Alan Anderson	47	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-8	11	14.6	16.1	-1.51	15.7	15.2	0.54
Brook Lopez	53	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-4	3	15.3	15.4	-0.12	14.4	16.8	-2.35
Joe Johnson	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	15.8	14.1	1.68	15.0	16.7	-1.64
Jarrett Jack	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	2	-9	15.2	15.7	-0.45	14.3	17.5	-3.22
Mason Plumlee	51	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	8	-21	15.2	15.6	-0.39	14.7	16.3	-1.56

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	48	49	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-8	21	14.1	16.8	-2.70	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Greg Monroe	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	15.0	16.6	-1.57	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Brandon Jennings	58	59	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	-1	7	15.1	16.0	-0.96	14.7	16.5	-1.77
Kyle Singler	57	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	-1	7	14.6	16.8	-2.24	14.7	16.5	-1.77
Andre Drummond	55	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-6	17	15.7	15.1	0.64	15.4	15.3	0.08
Jonas Jerebko	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	7	-9	15.5	15.3	0.25	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Caron Butler	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.16	-2	7	-9	16.8	14.6	2.20	16.1	14.9	1.20
D.J. Augustin	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	6	-7	16.0	15.1	0.96	16.5	14.7	1.77
Jodie Meeks	45	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	13	-21	16.8	14.1	2.70	15.4	15.4	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	7	-9	16.4	15.3	1.03	19.0	15.0	4.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	93.8%
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	93.5%
IND 88, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,1	93.3%