NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	6.5 [520]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +5.8%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.6 [1053]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -15.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	63%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.05	16	53%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	17	56%	0.08	4	-0.15	9	78%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	5	21%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	52%	0.06	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	15	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	52%	0.07	3	-0.09	11	82%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	21	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	14	59%	0.13	5	-0.17	11	45%	-0.07
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	25.0	14.8	31.2	2.3	38.6	140.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -3.4%

CHI +15.0%

CHI +34.7%

CHI +0.6%

CHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	15.4	15.4	95.6	104.4	104.5
season	15.5	14.5		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	17.8	13.9	18.0	16.3
CHI	15.7	17.3	16.8	12.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Ray	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	7.0	16.4	-9.37	12.0	15.4	-3.42
Rajon Rondo	71	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-13	18	15.5	19.1	-3.64	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Leon Powe	8	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	0	-8	20.2	15.9	4.37	19.2	15.0	4.24
Kendrick Perkins	42	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-5	2	16.2	16.3	-0.18	14.8	15.9	-1.07
Sebastian Telfair	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	17.6	16.0	1.63	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Gerald Green	34	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	0	-8	14.9	17.1	-2.16	14.7	15.8	-1.08
Brian Scalabrine	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	1	-10	17.0	15.7	1.28	14.5	16.1	-1.55
Al Jefferson	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	16.5	15.2	1.23	15.4	15.3	0.14
Paul Pierce	86	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-8	8	15.9	22.4	-6.49	15.6	12.0	3.58
Delonte West	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	0	-8	16.6	13.3	3.33	15.6	14.1	1.47

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	53	54	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-4	16	14.6	16.5	-1.87	17.6	14.2	3.40
Ben Gordon	75	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-6	20	15.1	16.7	-1.66	16.9	13.4	3.58
Adrian Griffin	24	24	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	-5	18	13.7	16.0	-2.33	17.7	15.8	1.91
Ben Wallace	80	79	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.29	2	6	-4	15.5	14.5	0.95	15.7	20.2	-4.50
Kirk Hinrich	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	10	-12	15.2	16.5	-1.26	15.6	20.1	-4.58
Luol Deng	76	76	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	9	-10	15.0	17.5	-2.49	15.7	18.9	-3.20
Thabo Sefolosha	14	16	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	2	4	18.1	14.9	3.26	16.5	16.2	0.29
P.J. Brown	44	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	6	-4	17.1	13.7	3.39	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Chris Duhon	11	10	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.03	-6	14	-20	17.6	15.1	2.56	14.7	16.5	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	93.8%
LAL 85, NOP 96	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.5%
MIL 104, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.3%