NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	5.8 [393]		MVP	Dell Curry (MIL): +11.4%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	1.4 [571]		LVP	Armen Gilliam (MIL): -13.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	6	88%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.07
Glenn Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	23	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	71%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Ervin Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.04	0.04	14	60%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	12	43%	-0.03	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	78%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.01	5	83%	0.11	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	9	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.04
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	87%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	9	56%	0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	25.7	16.2	23.5	1.6	37.2	129.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.3%

IND +13.1%

MIL -0.2%

MIL -2.1%

IND +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.8	115.6	122.5	99.6
season	15.8	16.4		102.4	105.4
opponent	16.0	16.4		101.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.9	15.8	17.2	15.4	16.5
IND	16.4	14.8	16.3	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	42	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-10	15	15.2	17.7	-2.52	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Tim Thomas	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	3	-11	15.6	16.7	-1.07	15.4	15.7	-0.28
Ray Allen	73	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-8	11	16.1	18.2	-2.13	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Armen Gilliam	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-4	3	17.1	15.6	1.44	16.6	14.1	2.50
Michael Curry	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-3	1	16.3	16.7	-0.43	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Dell Curry	38	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	16.6	16.5	0.07	15.4	15.8	-0.46
Glenn Robinson	73	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	16.1	18.4	-2.34	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Ervin Johnson	47	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	4	-13	17.6	15.3	2.36	15.8	15.5	0.34
Vinny Del Negro	71	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	2	-9	17.3	13.7	3.58	15.8	15.1	0.73

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	52	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-1	7	15.4	16.0	-0.62	16.1	17.1	-0.97
Travis Best	48	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	2	1	15.1	16.3	-1.26	15.7	17.5	-1.88
Chris Mullin	54	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	0	5	15.5	15.9	-0.37	16.3	16.8	-0.42
Sam Perkins	37	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	-1	7	16.2	15.3	0.85	16.6	16.5	0.12
Reggie Miller	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	3	-1	15.3	16.7	-1.45	16.2	17.4	-1.18
Jalen Rose	31	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	1	3	15.4	15.8	-0.47	17.1	16.2	0.96
Dale Davis	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	6	-7	15.3	16.2	-0.85	16.5	16.6	-0.12
Mark Jackson	41	41	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	3	-1	16.3	15.1	1.26	17.5	15.7	1.88
Austin Croshere	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	6	-7	17.2	15.0	2.24	16.9	16.4	0.50
Rik Smits	37	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	6	-7	16.0	15.4	0.62	17.1	16.1	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 91, LAL 103	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.9%
WAS 109, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.84,0.94,0.91,1	93.8%
MIL 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.7%