NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Excitement	5.8 [642]		MVP	Michael Dickerson (VAN): +9.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.6 [1077]		LVP	Othella Harrington (VAN): -12.4%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	12	69%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Obinna Ekezie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	16	53%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	14	50%	-0.03	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	62%	0.10	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	22	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	27.3	16.4	25.5	2.3	31.6	126.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +15.0%

VAN -2.4%

LAL +12.2%

LAL +22.4%

LAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAL	NBA	VAN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.2	97.8	109.6	101.7
season	15.9	15.3		99.5	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.0		98.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	17.8	14.0	16.3	16.5	16.0
LAL	20.0	13.2	14.3	12.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	20	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-18	24	13.7	16.6	-2.88	13.2	15.2	-2.04
Brent Price	23	25	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-13	14	13.3	16.9	-3.60	13.0	15.4	-2.47
Obinna Ekezie	19	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-11	10	17.9	15.5	2.37	19.2	13.8	5.37
Cherokee Parks	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-9	6	17.5	15.8	1.69	18.1	14.2	3.83
Grant Long	58	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-9	6	15.2	17.4	-2.27	12.7	18.2	-5.49
Othella Harrington	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-10	8	16.0	15.9	0.14	15.4	12.7	2.66
Dennis Scott	42	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	2	-16	14.6	17.1	-2.49	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Mike Bibby	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	1	-14	16.9	13.3	3.60	15.4	13.0	2.47
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	1	-14	16.7	13.2	3.46	15.0	13.7	1.37
Michael Dickerson	73	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	6	-24	16.6	13.7	2.88	15.2	13.2	2.04

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	67	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-4	20	13.0	19.1	-6.08	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Brian Shaw	35	34	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	2	8	12.4	16.2	-3.83	15.1	16.5	-1.36
Travis Knight	18	15	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-2	16	14.3	14.9	-0.55	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Kobe Bryant	79	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	2	8	15.5	11.2	4.26	16.4	13.4	3.05
Rick Fox	45	44	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	7	-2	13.3	16.1	-2.85	14.9	17.0	-2.13
Derek Fisher	37	36	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	5	2	12.7	16.1	-3.46	15.3	16.5	-1.15
Glen Rice	49	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	5	2	16.1	13.3	2.85	17.0	14.9	2.13
Shaquille O'Neal	76	78	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	14	-16	14.9	14.3	0.55	16.1	15.4	0.73
A.C. Green	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	16	-20	19.1	13.0	6.08	17.2	15.5	1.71
Ron Harper	37	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	15	-18	17.7	12.9	4.83	16.6	15.6	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, WAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
LAL 90, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CLE 105, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%