inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 95 Excitement5.4 [697] MVPDeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +15.7%
Washington Wizards 110 Comeback1.8 [670] LVPNazr Mohammed (CHA): -18.1%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.020.031766%0.1500.00475%-0.01
Matt Carroll0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.00478%0.0700.001100%0.00
Jeff McInnis0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02867%0.072-0.052100%0.02
Derek Anderson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00462%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Emeka Okafor0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.07-0.010.051168%0.062-0.05333%-0.02
Ryan Hollins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.02-0.021139%-0.0200.001100%0.01
Jared Dudley-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.00360%0.021-0.044100%0.01
Jermareo Davidson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00267%0.042-0.082100%0.01
Earl Boykins-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.00550%-0.004-0.1300%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.15-0.05-0.02921%-0.112-0.07650%-0.04

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.160.030.041177%0.1600.004100%0.03
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.002052%0.051-0.002100%0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.03-0.02945%0.0500.0020%-0.04
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.031059%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.020.021256%0.041-0.033100%0.01
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.010.03753%0.011-0.02580%-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01939%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01743%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.325.420.524.42.528.4129.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +0.7%
WAS +0.9%
WAS +14.1%
WAS +30.8%
WAS +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAWASNBACHAWASNBA
this game15.717.615.4109.2127.9105.7
season15.816.1103.1106.8
opponent15.515.1107.4107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.115.316.914.515.7
WAS15.920.617.416.817.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Emeka Okafor48500.14-0.640.790.063-182115.715.70.0419.315.34.02
Jared Dudley42410.05-0.550.60-0.105-202516.714.72.0318.416.91.53
Ryan Hollins44-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-151515.715.70.0622.017.44.60
Raymond Felton5757-0.05-0.450.390.03-3-12916.115.01.1018.915.23.69
Jason Richardson6768-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-171915.715.7-0.0118.613.94.64
Jeff McInnis5253-0.16-0.340.190.02-6-9316.115.01.1119.215.24.00
Derek Anderson2726-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.06-11-4-715.016.0-1.0014.818.8-3.97
Matt Carroll2320-0.42-0.08-0.340.05-161-1715.715.7-0.0513.518.8-5.30
Jermareo Davidson3433-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.05-13-2-1114.816.3-1.5216.718.2-1.54
Earl Boykins3029-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.09-12-3-915.016.1-1.1015.218.9-3.69
Nazr Mohammed5149-0.690.19-0.890.01-249-3315.416.2-0.8115.620.2-4.61

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Songaila35350.440.060.380.09123915.918.8-2.9715.116.1-0.96
Nick Young39420.430.070.350.1696316.218.8-2.6815.116.2-1.10
Andray Blatche55560.380.120.26-0.1217-21917.517.9-0.4016.314.61.62
Antonio Daniels57560.370.130.25-0.071501518.116.61.5516.614.02.63
Oleksiy Pecherov28300.330.170.160.0987115.118.8-3.7215.016.0-1.00
DeShawn Stevenson63610.270.230.03-0.03105518.315.82.5016.513.72.85
Roger Mason Jr.28300.240.26-0.010.16312-916.018.4-2.3413.616.8-3.14
Antawn Jamison58580.130.37-0.240.01411-718.815.13.7216.115.01.09
Brendan Haywood48470.030.47-0.44-0.09411-719.015.83.2316.115.20.86
Dominic McGuire1920-0.120.62-0.740.08-722-2919.217.22.0513.116.4-3.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 91, LAL 1030.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,195.0%
MIL 84, HOU 930.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.95,1,1,194.0%
CLE 105, MIL 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,194.0%