NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	8.0 [318]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.8%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	1.8 [702]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (DAL): -12.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	22	60%	0.20	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Nicolas Batum	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	13	54%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Miles Bridges	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	36%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	16	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Malik Monk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	5	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	11	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.01	7	79%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	65%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.10	0.12	-0.05	20	39%	0.15	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	16	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	11	32%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	29.3	14.5	23.5	2.4	30.6	126.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.7%

CHA -2.8%

DAL +14.3%

CHA -3.6%

CHA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	14.3	92.1	100.0	109.3
season	14.6	14.7		110.4	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.3		109.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.2	14.1	14.5	14.5	14.0
DAL	15.1	13.1	15.5	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	48	48	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.16	9	-15	24	13.9	14.2	-0.35	15.7	13.9	1.87
Jeremy Lamb	63	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-11	16	13.7	14.7	-1.03	14.4	15.3	-0.85
Marvin Williams	54	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-12	18	13.7	14.5	-0.80	14.9	14.7	0.21
Kemba Walker	80	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-6	6	13.9	14.4	-0.49	14.2	16.9	-2.75
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	28	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	4	-14	14.0	14.1	-0.10	15.1	14.6	0.47
Nicolas Batum	76	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-7	8	13.9	14.4	-0.48	14.5	15.6	-1.17
Devonte' Graham	21	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	0	-6	14.4	13.9	0.49	16.9	14.2	2.75
Miles Bridges	44	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	3	-12	14.7	13.5	1.26	15.0	14.6	0.32
Malik Monk	39	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	5	-16	14.5	13.7	0.81	15.0	14.6	0.39
Cody Zeller	52	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	9	-24	14.3	13.8	0.55	14.1	15.5	-1.43

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	54	53	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	16.0	13.3	2.63	14.4	13.6	0.75
Luka Doncic	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	-3	12	15.3	13.3	2.03	13.5	15.4	-1.87
Tim Hardaway Jr.	52	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	-1	8	14.8	14.7	0.17	15.0	13.0	1.98
Maxi Kleber	61	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	5	-4	13.9	16.1	-2.17	13.6	14.7	-1.08
Dorian Finney-Smith	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	8	-10	14.5	15.5	-1.01	13.7	14.9	-1.22
Jalen Brunson	65	66	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.33	-2	8	-10	13.9	16.5	-2.64	13.8	14.5	-0.64
Dirk Nowitzki	28	28	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	-1	8	16.1	14.2	1.92	14.8	13.8	1.03
Devin Harris	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-2	10	15.5	14.5	1.01	14.9	13.7	1.22
Trey Burke	8	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	16.7	14.6	2.16	14.3	14.0	0.32
Harrison Barnes	55	58	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	12	-18	13.8	16.0	-2.14	13.8	14.4	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.53,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.84,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.3%
LAL 85, NOP 96	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	92.9%
ORL 82, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.93,0.95,1,1	92.1%