NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	82		Excitement	6.6 [487]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +13.1%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	1.2 [532]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -9.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	17	61%	0.20	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	15	49%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	12	37%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.01	12	56%	0.00	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.08	-0.02	15	52%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.00	8	55%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	19	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	30.0	18.4	24.5	2.5	33.4	137.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +5.8%

DET +6.0%

DET +26.8%

DET +14.7%

ORL -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	20.5	15.5	102.5	110.0	106.4
season	15.3	16.9		107.3	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		106.2	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.4	14.9	16.4	15.2	15.5
DET	18.9	18.7	21.5	23.5	20.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	36	37	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-8	10	15.9	15.1	0.83	19.6	21.3	-1.70
Jameer Nelson	49	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.38	8	-14	22	14.7	16.7	-2.09	20.2	21.2	-1.00
Mickael Pietrus	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	1	-8	16.6	15.3	1.36	17.2	21.1	-3.89
Marcin Gortat	9	8	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	6	-18	16.8	15.3	1.48	16.5	21.0	-4.49
Tony Battie	22	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	2	-10	16.6	15.0	1.62	19.0	21.1	-2.06
Dwight Howard	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-12	18	15.3	16.8	-1.48	21.0	16.5	4.49
Anthony Johnson	31	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	6	-18	16.7	14.7	2.09	21.2	20.2	1.00
Hedo Turkoglu	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-4	2	15.3	16.3	-0.96	21.3	15.8	5.47
Rashard Lewis	62	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	14.9	17.4	-2.49	20.9	19.4	1.41
Courtney Lee	39	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.60	21.4	19.8	1.60

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-5	16	19.7	25.4	-5.74	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Rasheed Wallace	62	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	3	0	20.5	20.6	-0.09	14.9	17.3	-2.43
Antonio McDyess	40	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	0	6	20.9	20.1	0.82	15.0	15.9	-0.82
Allen Iverson	64	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	3	0	20.8	19.6	1.22	15.9	13.4	2.47
Tayshaun Prince	72	72	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	7	-8	21.3	13.6	7.68	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Arron Afflalo	36	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	1	4	20.2	20.8	-0.62	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Jason Maxiell	26	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.11	8	-2	10	20.0	20.8	-0.85	17.2	14.6	2.60
Amir Johnson	32	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	11	-16	20.5	20.5	-0.01	15.6	15.4	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.93,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	92.5%
ORL 83, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
CHA 93, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,1	92.3%