NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	7.3 [369]		MVP	Smush Parker (LAL): +13.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.6 [911]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -13.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	16	52%	0.10	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	19	47%	-0.01	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	16	56%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	65%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	19	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.03	-0.01	18	40%	0.05	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	14	42%	-0.04	3	-0.10	8	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	3.8	27.2	19.3	34.0	4.0	34.4	151.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -6.0%

PHX -1.7%

LAL +47.9%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	12.5	18.4	15.6	100.0	105.3	104.4
season	13.8	15.6		110.2	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.0	14.0	11.8	13.8	12.5
LAL	16.1	18.7	17.0	22.9	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	11	11	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-14	21	12.3	12.6	-0.28	19.3	18.3	1.01
James Jones	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-7	7	10.7	12.9	-2.23	16.5	18.8	-2.33
Tim Thomas	62	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-6	5	12.6	12.4	0.18	18.1	19.0	-0.90
Leandro Barbosa	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.40	6	-13	19	12.3	13.0	-0.75	18.5	18.2	0.28
Shawn Marion	75	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	12.8	11.4	1.36	19.2	14.5	4.68
Raja Bell	88	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	4	-15	12.6	10.0	2.64	18.2	21.4	-3.19
Steve Nash	78	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	12.7	11.8	0.87	18.4	18.5	-0.10
Boris Diaw	70	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.20	-17	10	-27	12.6	12.2	0.39	18.3	18.8	-0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	89	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-4	15	18.2	21.4	-3.19	12.6	10.0	2.64
Smush Parker	79	77	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-3	13	17.9	20.9	-3.03	12.2	14.0	-1.77
Lamar Odom	79	77	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-3	13	17.9	20.9	-3.03	12.2	14.0	-1.77
Kwame Brown	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	3	1	18.8	17.3	1.45	12.6	12.2	0.46
Devean George	29	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	2	3	16.7	19.1	-2.40	12.1	12.7	-0.63
Brian Cook	23	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	5	-3	18.8	18.2	0.59	12.3	12.6	-0.31
Sasha Vujacic	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	5	-3	20.4	17.7	2.69	14.4	11.8	2.63
Luke Walton	77	76	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.36	-9	16	-25	19.1	15.2	3.84	12.5	12.8	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.2%
TOR 86, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.2%
DET 75, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.1%