inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 86 Excitement6.8 [451] MVPMarc Gasol (MEM): +13.6%
Memphis Grizzlies 92 Comeback1.8 [719] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -25.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.03,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06-0.110.11-0.072338%0.143-0.07757%0.01
Tyler Hansbrough0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lou Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,00.08-0.020.061557%0.082-0.077100%0.02
James Johnson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.030.01860%0.011-0.024100%0.02
Amir Johnson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01950%0.023-0.08475%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.060.0030%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.01817%-0.1200.00250%-0.02
Patrick Patterson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.02-0.060.05755%-0.033-0.106100%0.02
DeMar DeRozan-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.12-0.090.041125%-0.132-0.122100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.060.041663%0.172-0.04989%0.02
Zach Randolph0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.060.001456%0.112-0.03650%-0.08
Nick Calathes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.050.00560%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.030.00380%0.111-0.044100%0.03
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00650%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00643%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.040.00550%-0.011-0.042100%0.01
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00333%-0.001-0.0500%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00312%-0.0500.00250%-0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.07-0.100.021146%-0.094-0.10475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.429.315.827.01.838.2140.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +42.0%
TOR -1.0%
TOR -6.9%
MEM +14.2%
MEM +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMEMNBATORMEMNBA
this game16.615.615.196.6102.2104.2
season15.615.9109.1103.8
opponent15.215.0100.8106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.617.618.214.716.6
MEM17.716.717.811.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Johnson1312-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-6619.816.13.7017.215.31.83
Patrick Patterson4749-0.02-0.480.46-0.299-152415.118.3-3.2714.417.0-2.57
Kyle Lowry7575-0.20-0.300.10-0.17-1-5416.417.7-1.3115.516.1-0.59
DeMar DeRozan6060-0.20-0.300.090.03-82-1016.217.3-1.0916.014.81.22
Jonas Valanciunas5352-0.23-0.270.030.03-93-1216.516.8-0.3316.214.71.59
Lou Williams4848-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.20-2-4215.118.4-3.2614.117.2-3.11
Terrence Ross3434-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.26-1-5416.416.7-0.3615.415.7-0.22
Amir Johnson5960-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.27-3-3016.816.30.5115.715.30.37
Tyler Hansbrough1919-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.13-93-1220.315.64.6516.415.41.00
Greivis Vasquez3741-0.560.06-0.61-0.38-60-618.615.23.4916.514.81.72

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol67670.74-0.240.990.2716-102615.017.1-2.0916.417.2-0.76
Nick Calathes27240.470.030.430.238-21015.415.6-0.1915.717.0-1.29
Zach Randolph69670.290.210.080.1742215.516.0-0.4916.217.8-1.61
Mike Conley55560.280.220.060.087-1815.415.8-0.4116.217.3-1.15
Jeff Green49500.270.230.040.1251415.415.8-0.4216.017.4-1.34
Jon Leuer12120.250.250.010.1151415.015.7-0.6717.116.50.55
Courtney Lee57560.250.25-0.000.34-39-1214.018.3-4.3515.917.9-2.02
Beno Udrih33320.220.28-0.060.1042216.714.91.7717.416.11.30
Tony Allen4444-0.030.53-0.550.12-511-1617.313.93.4518.614.73.92
Vince Carter910-0.040.54-0.590.04-39-1217.215.41.8318.716.32.36
Kosta Koufos2827-0.200.70-0.900.03-814-2216.815.01.7517.216.30.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 92, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.96,193.2%
MIA 85, UTA 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,193.1%
ORL 96, LAC 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.89,0.97,0.99,192.7%