NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	7.6 [355]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): +32.6%
LA Clippers	105		Comeback	1.9 [933]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -18.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.12	-0.03	17	74%	0.36	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	11	64%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	16	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Mario Hezonja	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	13	32%	-0.09	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	8	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.17	0.00	6	100%	0.36	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.02	16	56%	0.14	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	60%	0.18	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Chris Paul	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.09	0.05	13	56%	-0.01	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	30.5	15.6	24.5	1.8	35.5	136.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +63.6%

LAC +3.1%

LAC +15.7%

ORL -34.1%

LAC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	14.8	97.0	106.1	107.7
season	14.6	15.0		103.0	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	16.2	14.6	14.8	14.7
LAC	15.0	13.2	16.1	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	24	23	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-16	23	16.2	14.2	2.09	14.3	14.5	-0.16
Elfrid Payton	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-1	-7	14.0	15.3	-1.33	15.4	13.5	1.87
Bismack Biyombo	34	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-9	9	16.8	13.6	3.24	12.8	15.2	-2.34
Aaron Gordon	80	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	14.5	15.5	-1.06	14.8	12.8	2.02
Mario Hezonja	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-5	1	16.2	14.1	2.05	13.5	14.7	-1.26
Evan Fournier	52	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-1	-7	13.7	15.8	-2.09	15.1	13.5	1.58
Nikola Vucevic	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	0	-9	13.6	16.8	-3.24	15.2	12.8	2.34
D.J. Augustin	58	56	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-8	7	15.3	13.8	1.43	13.5	15.6	-2.13
Jodie Meeks	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	14.7	14.7	0.01	13.5	15.6	-2.12
Jeff Green	53	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	3	-15	14.5	14.9	-0.42	14.7	14.1	0.55

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	76	76	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-8	25	14.6	14.0	0.61	13.9	17.3	-3.49
Chris Paul	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-1	11	15.2	12.7	2.54	14.0	16.2	-2.18
Luc Mbah a Moute	51	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-8	25	14.7	14.2	0.50	13.6	15.7	-2.05
DeAndre Jordan	68	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	2	5	14.9	13.4	1.56	13.6	16.9	-3.26
Marreese Speights	31	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	13.4	14.9	-1.56	16.9	13.6	3.26
Austin Rivers	66	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	0	9	15.2	13.0	2.18	13.8	16.5	-2.74
Jamal Crawford	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	14	-19	14.0	14.8	-0.86	16.1	13.3	2.79
Raymond Felton	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	10	-11	13.1	15.1	-1.99	16.5	13.7	2.79
Wesley Johnson	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	14	-19	13.4	15.0	-1.67	16.1	13.9	2.23
Brandon Bass	16	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	15	-21	13.1	14.7	-1.55	16.7	14.2	2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.89,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 100, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.85,1,1,1	92.8%
TOR 86, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1	92.7%
UTA 88, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.91,1,1	92.4%