NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	106		Excitement	3.0 [209]		MVP	Malachi Smith (BKN): +21.7%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	7.7 [472]		LVP	Josh Minott (BKN): -16.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malachi Smith	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.13	0.00	8	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drake Powell	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.02	10	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Saraf	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.06	0.01	0.07	0.01	9	64%	0.18	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Jalen Wilson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	66%	0.13	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Tyson Etienne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chaney Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.10	0.00	8	69%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E.J. Liddell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Minott	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	5	80%	0.05	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.05	0.00	16	77%	0.34	5	-0.14	8	62%	-0.03
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.10	0.01	11	73%	0.28	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.08
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	1	150%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	4	58%	0.17	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.00
Kristaps Porzi??is	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.14,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.08	0.01	9	61%	0.22	6	-0.20	10	90%	0.08
Omer Yurtseven	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Pat Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	12	50%	-0.02	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.09
LJ Cryer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.6	36.2	15.3	26.5	0.0	36.2	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +9.2%

GSW +38.9%

GSW +26.9%

BKN -24.8%

BKN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	GSW	NBA	BKN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.8	14.1	14.2	103.9	104.8	113.4
season	14.8	14.7		107.0	112.8
opponent	13.8	14.3		113.6	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.0	12.4	13.0	19.0	13.8
GSW	14.1	15.3	12.8	14.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Etienne	81	82	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.08	9	-12	21	12.5	19.0	-6.59	14.0	14.5	-0.53
Ziaire Williams	53	53	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-9	15	12.5	15.2	-2.75	14.7	13.5	1.25
Terance Mann	51	51	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.03	4	-7	11	12.8	14.8	-2.06	14.6	13.6	1.02
Nic Claxton	43	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-4	5	13.2	14.3	-1.13	15.4	13.2	2.13
Chaney Johnson	92	94	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	0	-3	14.2	10.4	3.78	14.5	10.5	4.01
E.J. Liddell	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	4	-11	16.3	12.7	3.64	15.4	13.5	1.90
Malachi Smith	102	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	13.8	0.0	13.81	14.1	0.0	14.12
Josh Minott	102	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	13.8	0.0	13.81	14.1	0.0	14.12
Jalen Wilson	97	98	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	0	-3	13.7	16.4	-2.72	14.3	12.0	2.26
Drake Powell	71	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.45	-8	5	-13	14.6	12.0	2.65	14.5	13.2	1.34
Ben Saraf	64	64	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.53	-9	6	-15	15.0	11.9	3.10	15.1	12.6	2.44

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandin Podziemski	91	90	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-9	21	14.5	11.5	2.96	14.4	9.7	4.70
Draymond Green	91	90	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.35	12	-9	21	14.3	12.8	1.55	14.3	9.8	4.51
De'Anthony Melton	95	92	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-8	19	14.3	12.8	1.47	14.3	9.3	5.00
Gui Santos	101	100	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-3	9	14.3	7.3	6.99	14.0	5.0	8.99
Kristaps Porzi??is	86	84	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	-6	15	14.8	10.8	4.05	14.1	12.6	1.53
Will Richard	84	82	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-6	15	14.2	13.8	0.34	14.2	12.2	2.01
Gary Payton II	99	98	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-2	7	14.6	4.6	10.01	14.0	8.7	5.27
LJ Cryer	58	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-1	5	14.5	13.7	0.85	13.4	14.4	-0.97
Omer Yurtseven	52	51	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	3	-3	13.7	14.6	-0.87	12.7	14.9	-2.25
Pat Spencer	73	74	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.09	-8	11	-19	14.4	13.4	1.01	12.6	16.9	-4.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.84,1	92.3%
PHI 94, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.72,1	90.9%
ORL 100, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.32,0.84,1	90.8%