NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	8.8 [199]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +41.3%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	7.8 [332]		LVP	Blake Griffin (DET): -26.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Ryan Broekhoff	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	24	51%	0.19	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.06
Salah Mejri	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	14	30%	-0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.27	0.02	13	86%	0.46	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.00	6	73%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	14	53%	0.19	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.07
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	8	22%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	7	0%	-0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.27,-0.41,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.18	0.00	26	40%	-0.17	2	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.3	14.5	26.3	1.8	36.2	132.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +9.1%

DET +9.8%

DET +37.4%

DAL -9.3%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DET	NBA	DAL	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	14.3	96.7	101.1	109.3
season	14.7	15.3		108.5	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.1		109.0	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.2	16.8	15.6	15.5	16.0
DET	16.5	14.5	15.7	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Broekhoff	50	49	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.16	12	-16	28	14.9	17.3	-2.37	17.0	13.3	3.72
Dirk Nowitzki	27	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-8	12	15.8	16.1	-0.29	16.1	15.0	1.09
Devin Harris	45	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-9	14	13.8	18.1	-4.26	15.9	14.7	1.22
Salah Mejri	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.15	-8	4	-12	18.3	14.5	3.76	13.7	16.3	-2.56
Dorian Finney-Smith	63	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	4	-12	17.2	13.5	3.71	15.5	14.8	0.77
Dwight Powell	44	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.49	7	-11	18	14.0	17.9	-3.83	16.6	13.9	2.64
Maxi Kleber	55	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	2	-8	16.4	15.5	0.90	14.0	17.4	-3.42
Harrison Barnes	75	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.39	-9	5	-14	16.0	15.9	0.10	15.4	14.7	0.70
Jalen Brunson	64	63	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.39	-17	13	-30	17.1	13.6	3.47	13.9	18.4	-4.52

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	67	69	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.30	18	-14	32	14.3	17.8	-3.46	16.8	13.7	3.10
Reggie Bullock	59	60	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-9	22	14.5	16.7	-2.21	16.4	15.2	1.18
Blake Griffin	76	76	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.45	5	-1	6	15.2	15.7	-0.57	16.2	15.3	0.86
Luke Kennard	36	38	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	4	-4	16.7	14.4	2.32	14.8	16.9	-2.01
Andre Drummond	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	2	0	15.1	16.0	-0.93	15.6	17.5	-1.88
Bruce Brown	40	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	0	4	13.4	16.7	-3.24	17.2	15.2	2.03
Zaza Pachulia	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	2	0	15.3	15.3	-0.01	17.5	15.6	1.88
Glenn Robinson III	2	3	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	3	-2	18.0	15.2	2.78	14.3	16.1	-1.75
Langston Galloway	41	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	5	-6	16.2	14.5	1.65	16.9	15.3	1.54
Stanley Johnson	23	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	12	-20	16.1	15.0	1.07	13.6	16.7	-3.11
Jose Calderon	23	22	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	0.07	-16	20	-36	19.3	13.9	5.42	12.9	17.0	-4.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.85,1	91.8%
SAC 117, MEM 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.24,0.85,1	91.5%
VAN 99, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.37,0.66,0.85,1	90.3%