NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	9.5 [79]		MVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): +13.3%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	8.8 [121]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -39.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	11	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	15	53%	-0.02	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.05
Keith Van Horn	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.27	-0.05	-0.29	-0.07	10	41%	-0.24	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.28
Kerry Kittles	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	16	37%	-0.23	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.39	-0.16	-0.23	0.00	18	28%	-0.29	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	15	63%	0.11	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.06
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	48%	0.04	1	-0.08	7	86%	0.06
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	5	64%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.12
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	6	17%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	13	46%	-0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0,-0.17,-0.23,-0.3	-0.30	-0.12	-0.23	-0.05	23	40%	-0.23	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	28.2	15.4	23.5	2.3	35.4	127.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -19.4%

PHX +29.4%

PHX +36.5%

NJN -1.6%

PHX +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHX	NBA	NJN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	15.6	93.5	98.9	102.3
season	14.7	15.1		101.4	101.0
opponent	15.8	16.0		102.1	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	16.5	13.0	15.7	14.9
PHX	18.6	15.5	14.7	17.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	54	52	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.15	-3	1	-4	14.1	16.0	-1.83	16.4	16.8	-0.44
Lucious Harris	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-1	0	17.8	14.0	3.80	15.3	17.0	-1.64
Anthony Johnson	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	5	-12	14.3	15.0	-0.69	19.6	16.3	3.30
Donny Marshall	7	6	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	2	-6	13.4	15.0	-1.61	20.3	16.3	4.01
Richard Jefferson	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	2	-6	15.5	14.4	1.11	14.8	18.1	-3.34
Kerry Kittles	73	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-4	6	14.4	16.9	-2.59	16.6	16.6	0.01
Keith Van Horn	57	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-5	8	14.8	15.1	-0.28	17.3	15.5	1.86
Kenyon Martin	80	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-3	4	14.8	15.4	-0.55	16.6	16.2	0.46
Jason Kidd	80	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-4	6	14.7	16.5	-1.80	16.7	16.0	0.68
Aaron Williams	39	38	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.60	1	-3	4	16.0	14.1	1.83	16.8	16.4	0.44

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	42	43	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.45	18	-16	34	16.1	17.0	-0.88	15.0	14.8	0.16
Anfernee Hardaway	44	46	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-4	10	16.0	17.2	-1.24	15.5	14.3	1.25
Shawn Marion	82	85	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-2	6	16.7	15.9	0.78	15.0	14.0	1.00
Stephon Marbury	75	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	2	-2	16.7	15.9	0.79	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Jake Tsakalidis	80	82	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	-3	8	16.7	15.9	0.78	14.5	17.8	-3.29
Milt Palacio	15	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	0	2	15.9	16.7	-0.79	15.7	14.7	1.01
Bo Outlaw	10	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	7	-12	15.6	16.7	-1.11	17.2	14.6	2.57
Joe Johnson	46	47	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	6	-10	17.2	16.0	1.24	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Tom Gugliotta	56	58	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.11	-16	18	-34	16.9	16.1	0.80	14.8	15.0	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.4,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.73,1	92.0%
DAL 89, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.84,1	91.8%
CHA 99, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.68,0.99,1	91.8%