NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	9.2 [125]		MVP	David Noel (MIL): +11.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	5.9 [422]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -19.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	23	52%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ivan McFarlin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Steven Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	12	63%	0.19	4	-0.23	6	50%	-0.14
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.08,-0.2	-0.03	-0.18	-0.01	12	50%	-0.10	3	-0.09	12	75%	-0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	8	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.12,-0.06,0.07,-0.01,0.11,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	26	48%	0.08	2	-0.09	15	80%	0.03
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.10	0.00	8	62%	-0.01	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	11	60%	0.05	3	-0.11	8	50%	-0.07
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	30.3	15.5	29.2	1.8	42.1	148.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -23.8%

MIL +33.3%

MIL +24.3%

MIL +17.2%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.8	15.4	101.1	106.5	104.5
season	15.5	15.2		101.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.9	15.7	15.0	17.8	16.3
MIL	14.4	14.3	15.0	15.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-12	20	18.0	15.9	2.14	16.5	14.3	2.20
Bobby Jones	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	0.0	16.5	-16.48	11.0	14.9	-3.87
Steven Smith	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	13.5	16.6	-3.14	12.7	15.1	-2.39
Ivan McFarlin	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	12.5	16.5	-3.97	12.2	15.0	-2.78
Samuel Dalembert	27	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-3	2	17.2	15.9	1.30	15.5	14.5	0.96
Rodney Carney	33	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	0	-4	15.7	16.6	-0.98	13.9	15.3	-1.39
Lou Williams	19	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-3	2	15.7	16.5	-0.78	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Shavlik Randolph	70	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-8	12	16.0	17.2	-1.16	14.9	14.7	0.20
Andre Iguodala	85	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	1	-6	16.6	13.2	3.34	14.9	14.1	0.79
Willie Green	65	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	0	-4	17.0	14.8	2.17	15.1	14.2	0.88
Kevin Ollie	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	0	-4	16.5	15.9	0.59	15.2	14.0	1.28
Kyle Korver	69	67	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.39	-11	7	-18	16.0	17.3	-1.34	14.4	16.1	-1.72

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Noel	63	64	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-8	20	14.6	15.4	-0.86	15.8	17.4	-1.57
Charlie Bell	71	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-5	14	14.7	15.2	-0.53	15.8	17.9	-2.05
Michael Redd	88	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	-2	8	14.7	18.2	-3.58	16.3	15.2	1.10
Ruben Patterson	75	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-2	8	15.1	13.5	1.59	17.0	12.5	4.57
Andrew Bogut	59	61	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	1	2	14.9	14.8	0.11	16.0	16.8	-0.78
Brian Skinner	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	5	-6	14.2	14.9	-0.73	13.8	16.6	-2.80
Dan Gadzuric	37	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	15.3	14.5	0.83	18.3	15.0	3.32
Steve Blake	22	23	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	10	-16	14.5	14.9	-0.37	17.1	16.0	1.04
Ersan Ilyasova	34	33	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.03	-9	13	-22	15.1	14.7	0.46	14.9	17.1	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.58,1	92.9%
MIN 97, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	92.9%
CHH 93, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.19,0.44,0.73,1	92.5%