NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	10.8 [42]		MVP	Julius Randle (MIN): +34.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	499.0 [4]		LVP	Kyle Anderson (MIN): -15.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae'Sean Tate	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	22	54%	0.22	6	-0.18	12	83%	-0.14
Amen Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.02	8	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0	0.13	-0.07	0.07	22	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	13	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tari Eason	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	21%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.35	0.35	-0.12	0.41	-0.06	27	41%	0.48	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.21	-0.01	15	57%	0.35	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	17	68%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.07	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	6	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	11	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.07	0.03	6	23%	-0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	32.5	2.2	25.4	13.6	27.9	2.4	41.2	1.5	19.7	166.4
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +62.2%

HOU -4.4%

HOU -8.4%

HOU -1.0%

MIN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	14.2	98.2	100.0	113.7
season	15.4	13.9		115.9	114.2
opponent	14.1	14.0		111.1	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.0	17.2	14.6	12.0	13.1	14.0
MIN	15.2	14.8	14.2	15.7	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	13	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	18.8	13.4	5.50	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Josh Okogie	21	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	4	-10	16.0	13.5	2.41	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Tari Eason	70	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	5	-12	15.2	11.8	3.42	14.6	15.3	-0.63
Clint Capela	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	7	-16	15.4	12.1	3.25	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Aaron Holiday	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	6	-14	15.8	12.8	3.05	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Alperen Sengun	97	98	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	14.4	11.1	3.31	14.9	14.4	0.51
Jabari Smith Jr.	110	110	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.0	0.0	14.00	14.9	0.0	14.87
Kevin Durant	110	110	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.0	0.0	14.00	14.9	0.0	14.87
Amen Thompson	108	109	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	2	-6	14.1	11.0	3.06	14.9	12.0	2.90
Jae'Sean Tate	61	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	3	-8	12.8	15.5	-2.69	15.5	14.1	1.32
Reed Sheppard	100	99	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.50	-7	5	-12	14.3	11.0	3.30	14.9	14.4	0.57

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bones Hyland	107	108	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.56	5	-3	8	15.1	8.0	7.07	14.1	11.0	3.06
Kyle Anderson	107	107	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.56	5	-3	8	15.1	8.0	7.07	14.2	7.3	6.85
Donte DiVincenzo	94	92	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.48	7	-5	12	15.0	13.9	1.09	14.1	13.7	0.40
Julius Randle	100	100	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-5	12	14.7	16.2	-1.46	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Terrence Shannon Jr.	11	11	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	13.9	15.0	-1.07	13.1	14.1	-1.01
Rudy Gobert	94	95	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	-1	4	14.8	15.2	-0.37	14.4	11.7	2.62
Jaden McDaniels	96	98	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	15.1	13.6	1.49	14.1	13.6	0.47
Naz Reid	102	102	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.18	-6	8	-14	15.1	12.5	2.56	13.8	16.5	-2.70
Mike Conley	78	76	-0.60	1.10	-1.71	-0.40	-7	9	-16	15.6	13.0	2.64	14.1	13.9	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.83,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.85,0.58,0.5,0.15,0,0.05,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 123, TOR 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.79,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.24,0.28,0.09,0.42,1	88.5%
ATL 102, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	88.5%
GSW 116, LAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.86,0.42,0.5,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.58,1	87.6%