NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	9.2 [110]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +42.4%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	3.3 [428]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -36.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.00	16	58%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.02	0.15	-0.00	5	30%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	20	60%	0.17	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
John Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,-0.21,-0.29,-0.34,-0.13,-0.12,-0.36	0.01	-0.35	0.03	27	55%	0.21	5	-0.57	4	75%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.3,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.16	0.27	0.01	16	71%	0.47	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	11	68%	0.44	3	-0.23	6	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.15	-0.01	11	55%	0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	7	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	7	31%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.04	-0.20	0.02	16	50%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	3.0	31.0	16.8	26.6	3.0	33.1	1.4	15.5	154.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.4%

BOS +10.6%

ATL -14.4%

BOS +23.7%

ATL -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.9	15.4	101.0	105.9	104.1
season	15.1	14.9		102.6	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	17.2	18.3	15.4	16.4	14.8	16.6
BOS	12.8	14.5	14.0	17.1	18.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	55	57	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.05	7	-12	19	15.5	17.9	-2.37	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Dahntay Jones	8	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-3	1	14.1	16.8	-2.71	13.7	14.9	-1.23
John Jenkins	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-2	-1	17.3	16.5	0.77	13.6	15.1	-1.41
Josh Smith	88	86	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-10	15	16.2	19.5	-3.35	15.3	12.6	2.66
Devin Harris	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-3	1	18.2	15.1	3.10	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Johan Petro	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	0	-5	19.0	15.5	3.57	13.4	15.6	-2.22
Jeff Teague	83	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-4	3	16.4	17.7	-1.27	15.2	13.4	1.81
Al Horford	89	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	2	-9	16.8	15.3	1.46	15.1	13.3	1.73
Kyle Korver	75	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	7	-19	16.2	17.8	-1.54	14.7	15.4	-0.77

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-4	13	15.6	13.5	2.02	17.5	15.0	2.48
Jason Terry	70	68	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	15.0	14.5	0.54	16.2	17.5	-1.23
Courtney Lee	52	51	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	-1	7	14.2	15.5	-1.30	18.5	14.8	3.69
Jordan Crawford	31	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	0	5	13.2	15.6	-2.36	18.7	15.8	2.95
Jeff Green	69	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-5	15	15.0	14.6	0.44	16.2	17.7	-1.52
Brandon Bass	42	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	7	-9	14.4	15.2	-0.74	17.1	16.2	0.91
Paul Pierce	73	75	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	3	-1	15.4	13.6	1.78	15.8	18.9	-3.04
Avery Bradley	70	72	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	5	-5	15.6	13.2	2.36	15.8	18.7	-2.95
Terrence Williams	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	13.7	14.9	-1.16	17.5	16.6	0.91
Chris Wilcox	28	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	12	-19	13.1	15.5	-2.38	14.5	17.4	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 123, TOR 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.79,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.24,0.28,0.09,0.42,1	91.5%
GSW 116, LAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.86,0.42,0.5,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.58,1	91.5%
MIN 105, UTA 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.59,1	90.2%