NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	9.9 [59]		MVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): +57.8%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	3.9 [290]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -37.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0.58	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58	0.10	0.47	-0.00	12	62%	0.61	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.13	0.01	9	45%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	5	67%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	61%	0.11	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	23	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.06
Luke Ridnour	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21,-0.38,-0.38	0.04	-0.37	0.04	12	69%	-0.06	4	-0.32	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.21	0.03	17	63%	0.34	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.01	8	75%	0.24	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	14	51%	0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	17	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	13	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.9	2.3	28.5	15.4	23.4	1.7	30.0	1.4	13.2	140.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -28.5%

MIN -2.2%

UTA +29.2%

UTA +45.6%

UTA +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.5	15.6	100.0	102.8	102.8
season	15.3	15.8		102.6	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	13.7	12.7	15.2	15.4	16.4	14.4
UTA	17.0	14.5	15.5	15.2	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	60	62	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.13	8	-14	22	14.3	14.5	-0.17	16.1	14.6	1.47
Wesley Johnson	70	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-8	10	13.8	15.4	-1.59	16.3	13.7	2.58
Wayne Ellington	38	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-3	0	13.9	14.6	-0.71	15.2	15.6	-0.33
Anthony Randolph	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-2	-2	14.0	14.5	-0.44	14.4	15.8	-1.37
Martell Webster	72	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-7	8	14.1	14.9	-0.83	15.6	15.1	0.55
Anthony Tolliver	25	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-2	-2	16.1	13.8	2.24	13.5	16.1	-2.65
Kevin Love	79	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-4	2	14.5	14.0	0.44	15.8	14.4	1.37
Luke Ridnour	71	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	14.7	13.6	1.11	15.7	14.9	0.76
Derrick Williams	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	2	-10	14.0	14.6	-0.61	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Jose Juan Barea	39	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.09	-12	6	-18	14.5	14.3	0.18	14.7	15.9	-1.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	79	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-8	22	15.0	16.9	-1.90	14.4	14.4	-0.04
Paul Millsap	75	70	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	1	4	16.0	14.2	1.86	14.9	13.4	1.46
Derrick Favors	47	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	-1	8	14.5	16.2	-1.70	14.2	14.5	-0.36
Jamaal Tinsley	42	43	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-5	16	14.9	15.8	-0.97	14.1	14.6	-0.47
Devin Harris	66	62	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	11	-16	15.8	14.9	0.97	14.6	14.1	0.47
Al Jefferson	67	64	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	8	-10	15.9	14.8	1.04	14.5	14.2	0.21
Enes Kanter	27	29	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	4	-2	14.6	15.8	-1.17	13.3	14.8	-1.42
Alec Burks	55	54	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.59	13.6	15.2	-1.57
Josh Howard	43	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	8	-10	15.9	15.2	0.72	14.9	14.0	0.89
Raja Bell	29	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	14	-22	16.9	15.0	1.90	14.4	14.4	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	90.2%
GSW 82, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	89.8%
DEN 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	89.7%