NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	9.8 [109]		MVP	Montrezl Harrell (LAC): +28.6%
LA Clippers	121		Comeback	3.9 [249]		LVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): -18.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.32,0.21	0.01	0.22	0.02	31	50%	0.31	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	7	74%	0.20	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.05
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	73%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.10	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.01	7	56%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	0.03	-0.20	0.01	24	54%	-0.08	4	-0.11	13	85%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.13	-0.01	13	74%	0.33	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.15,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.07,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.13	0.01	18	50%	0.23	2	-0.05	14	100%	0.14
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	86%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	75%	0.17	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	18	45%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.13	0.00	12	45%	-0.04	1	-0.09	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	1.7	26.3	14.8	27.2	1.8	29.0	2.7	13.7	142.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -23.9%

LAC +63.9%

LAC +4.3%

LAC +11.2%

GSW -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	14.9	14.3	101.8	109.0	109.3
season	13.4	13.9		114.5	111.3
opponent	14.1	15.0		110.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	15.8	13.6	14.1	9.9	15.4	13.4
LAC	14.2	13.6	14.7	17.8	12.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	79	77	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.14	4	-9	13	13.6	13.0	0.64	16.2	11.8	4.40
Draymond Green	80	77	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.08	3	-8	11	12.9	14.5	-1.55	16.3	11.7	4.61
Jordan Bell	4	4	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-6	7	11.5	13.5	-1.98	16.2	14.8	1.43
Kevon Looney	59	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-10	15	13.2	13.6	-0.40	14.7	15.1	-0.36
Jonas Jerebko	29	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	14.1	13.2	0.88	11.6	16.0	-4.42
Andre Iguodala	73	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-8	11	12.7	14.7	-2.06	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Quinn Cook	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	2	-9	14.5	12.7	1.80	15.2	14.6	0.62
Damian Jones	25	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	3	-11	15.9	12.7	3.16	16.7	14.3	2.32
Alfonzo McKinnie	25	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	0	-5	12.9	13.6	-0.68	13.0	15.4	-2.37
Klay Thompson	98	96	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	12.8	17.2	-4.46	15.2	12.6	2.63
Shaun Livingston	45	43	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.44	-9	4	-13	13.9	13.1	0.75	12.3	16.5	-4.16

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	46	45	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.58	13	-8	21	15.9	14.1	1.77	14.9	12.4	2.51
Tobias Harris	84	86	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	15.9	11.7	4.14	13.7	12.7	0.97
Mike Scott	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-1	7	12.3	16.4	-4.09	13.1	13.6	-0.53
Montrezl Harrell	72	75	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	9	-13	14.0	16.5	-2.57	12.5	15.1	-2.53
Lou Williams	70	75	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	5	-5	13.9	16.6	-2.71	12.7	14.8	-2.06
Marcin Gortat	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-4	13	16.5	14.0	2.57	15.1	12.5	2.53
Danilo Gallinari	72	77	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.26	-3	8	-11	16.1	12.6	3.52	13.5	13.2	0.37
Sindarius Thornwell	25	25	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	3	-1	11.7	15.8	-4.07	12.2	13.7	-1.50
Tyrone Wallace	29	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	5	-5	12.7	15.6	-2.96	12.9	13.6	-0.74
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	76	77	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.22	-3	8	-11	16.2	12.1	4.07	13.6	13.0	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.86,0.42,0.5,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	91.5%
MIN 94, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.84,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	91.1%
MIA 111, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	90.7%