inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 111 Excitement10.4 [48] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +58.7%
Atlanta Hawks 114 Comeback4.9 [250] LVPRicky Davis (MIA): -31.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.590,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.64,0.590.160.42-0.011764%0.653-0.062291%0.16
Dorell Wright0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.07-0.01567%0.131-0.022100%0.02
Chris Quinn0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.03-0.01671%0.0700.005100%0.03
Daequan Cook0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00658%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01283%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Shawn Marion0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Blount-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09-0.03-0.060.0020%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.090,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.060.00762%0.025-0.111267%-0.03
Udonis Haslem-0.270,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27-0.05-0.210.001144%0.003-0.273100%0.02
Ricky Davis-0.320,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32-0.06-0.260.001548%-0.144-0.183100%0.06

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.32,0.30.30-0.020.30-0.012545%0.331-0.03560%-0.04
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.01960%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00480%0.0600.002100%0.01
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.000100%0.081-0.034100%0.04
Marvin Williams0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.050.001759%0.206-0.181080%-0.02
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.050.001463%0.252-0.242100%0.02
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.010.01-0.020.020.00262%0.072-0.06475%0.04
Josh Childress00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.07-0.080.01668%0.101-0.137100%0.04
Mario West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game34.22.426.415.734.22.735.11.770.3222.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +60.1%
MIA -15.8%
ATL +28.8%
MIA -29.1%
ATL +6.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game15.615.715.4109.9111.8105.7
season16.015.499.0104.2
opponent15.715.4107.2108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA15.914.215.416.018.015.6
ATL15.415.815.217.513.815.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal59620.46-0.961.420.257-101716.214.71.4715.715.8-0.07
Alonzo Mourning980.02-0.520.53-0.011-4514.415.7-1.2617.715.62.19
Daequan Cook4243-0.07-0.430.35-0.101-4514.316.5-2.2414.916.4-1.47
Shawn Marion22-0.14-0.360.23-0.140-3311.515.7-4.1814.015.8-1.77
Jason Williams22-0.14-0.360.23-0.140-3311.515.7-4.1814.015.8-1.77
Mark Blount1111-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-41-516.115.50.5611.516.3-4.80
Udonis Haslem8788-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.23-30-316.013.22.7616.013.92.18
Ricky Davis8889-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.454-71115.416.8-1.3516.113.52.52
Chris Quinn7374-0.530.03-0.56-0.32-74-1116.114.41.7115.217.0-1.79
Dwyane Wade9394-0.540.04-0.58-0.39-52-715.714.21.4615.715.60.12
Dorell Wright3937-0.660.16-0.82-0.40-96-1515.016.0-0.9717.314.92.41

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford34340.56-0.060.630.425-2715.715.7-0.0416.215.30.88
Marvin Williams97960.55-0.050.600.386-3915.423.2-7.8516.08.47.57
Mario West36380.51-0.010.530.66-58-1318.014.53.5414.216.5-2.30
Joe Johnson1021010.500.000.500.4130315.70.015.7415.60.015.59
Anthony Johnson69690.320.180.130.2621115.815.60.2415.915.00.87
Shelden Williams30280.170.33-0.17-0.016-3914.116.4-2.3614.016.2-2.16
Josh Childress220.140.36-0.230.1403-314.015.8-1.7711.515.7-4.18
Mike Bibby220.140.36-0.230.1403-314.015.8-1.7711.515.7-4.18
Acie Law19170.130.37-0.240.0430315.015.9-0.9014.115.9-1.78
Josh Smith54540.070.43-0.360.0412-115.116.5-1.4115.815.30.47
Lorenzen Wright1313-0.110.61-0.710.07-69-1518.315.42.9512.816.0-3.24
Zaza Pachulia5453-0.340.84-1.18-0.3403-316.115.30.8017.113.93.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 120, SAS 1240.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.55,0.68,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.57,190.9%
GSW 116, LAC 1210.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.86,0.42,0.5,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.58,190.7%
IND 110, MIN 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,190.5%