NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	3.7 [926]		MVP	Mouhamed Gueye (ATL): +19.3%
Atlanta Hawks	126		Comeback	2.2 [710]		LVP	Gui Santos (GSW): -16.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.04	9	95%	0.10	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Pat Spencer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	15	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Quinten Post	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LJ Cryer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malevy Leons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Yurtseven	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	8	65%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Will Richard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	7	64%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	38%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Gui Santos	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	2	25%	-0.04	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	-0.01	6	133%	0.20	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.22	-0.01	0.09	17	78%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.11	1	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.04	6	100%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	16	64%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	9	11%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.2	33.1	0.0	29.8	0.0	27.4	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +24.1%

GSW -2.5%

ATL +10.7%

ATL +16.9%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.6	14.2	106.8	123.5	113.7
season	14.7	13.4		112.5	113.8
opponent	14.4	13.8		111.8	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.6	15.0	14.9	14.2	14.4
ATL	13.9	15.7	12.2	13.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinten Post	49	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-16	16	14.6	14.3	0.29	14.8	12.6	2.21
De'Anthony Melton	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	4	-24	14.6	13.9	0.72	14.0	12.5	1.53
Draymond Green	70	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	4	-24	14.6	14.0	0.57	13.9	13.1	0.88
Gui Santos	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.19	-23	7	-30	14.8	13.4	1.35	14.0	12.7	1.32
Brandin Podziemski	84	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.24	-25	9	-34	14.6	13.4	1.22	13.8	12.9	0.92
Malevy Leons	101	100	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	-2	-12	14.6	3.5	11.13	13.5	19.0	-5.47
Will Richard	95	92	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.18	-23	7	-30	14.6	11.9	2.76	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Nate Williams	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	-1	-14	14.5	13.2	1.28	13.7	13.2	0.40
Omer Yurtseven	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	1	-18	14.9	13.1	1.77	13.5	13.9	-0.38
Pat Spencer	87	87	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.08	-18	2	-20	15.2	10.4	4.79	13.6	13.8	-0.19
LJ Cryer	85	84	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.02	-22	6	-28	15.6	9.0	6.56	13.7	13.4	0.30

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dyson Daniels	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.23	28	-12	40	14.3	11.7	2.59	15.1	12.5	2.56
Onyeka Okongwu	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.30	29	-13	42	14.2	12.9	1.29	15.1	13.5	1.59
Mouhamed Gueye	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-2	20	13.6	13.7	-0.11	14.9	12.6	2.32
CJ McCollum	92	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	-7	30	13.9	11.6	2.26	14.4	14.2	0.21
Zaccharie Risacher	93	94	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-7	30	13.7	13.3	0.33	14.8	10.6	4.23
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	91	92	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	-5	26	13.8	12.3	1.53	14.7	12.3	2.40
Gabe Vincent	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	7	2	13.0	15.4	-2.42	14.5	14.2	0.35
Jock Landale	77	78	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	-3	22	13.8	13.0	0.84	14.3	14.8	-0.56
Jonathan Kuminga	76	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	2	12	14.6	11.0	3.59	14.5	14.2	0.26
Buddy Hield	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	21	-26	13.0	13.9	-0.87	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Corey Kispert	38	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.16	-10	26	-36	14.6	13.0	1.58	14.6	14.3	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.74,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, LAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DAL 82, NJN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NYK 79, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%