NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	82		Excitement	3.3 [1115]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +11.6%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	3.0 [182]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): -7.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	18	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	16	46%	0.01	3	-0.07	14	93%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	20	66%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	58%	0.12	3	-0.06	11	64%	0.02
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	8	75%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	44%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	46%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	13	42%	0.03	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	28.8	15.6	26.2	1.8	33.2	134.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +33.1%

NJN +14.7%

NJN +2.3%

DAL -2.2%

NJN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	17.3	14.9	15.4	92.1	112.2	105.7
season	16.1	15.4		108.9	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		107.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	16.6	19.7	16.6	17.3
NJN	15.7	16.9	11.7	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-19	19	17.4	17.3	0.05	12.1	15.4	-3.32
Juwan Howard	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-18	17	22.9	16.6	6.36	11.5	15.3	-3.77
Erick Dampier	22	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-16	13	16.0	17.8	-1.78	15.5	14.7	0.81
Devean George	53	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-19	19	17.5	17.1	0.38	14.9	14.8	0.09
Jose Juan Barea	32	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-15	11	17.4	17.3	0.06	14.4	15.1	-0.73
DeSagana Diop	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-13	7	17.1	17.5	-0.43	15.2	14.7	0.56
Brandon Bass	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-18	17	18.3	16.6	1.64	15.0	14.8	0.21
Jason Terry	62	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-6	-7	17.9	16.1	1.81	15.5	13.2	2.34
Josh Howard	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.08	-19	0	-19	17.1	18.3	-1.18	15.0	14.4	0.55
Eddie Jones	42	40	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.14	-23	4	-27	16.2	18.3	-2.08	15.0	14.7	0.30
Dirk Nowitzki	64	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.06	-25	6	-31	16.7	19.0	-2.26	15.0	14.6	0.37

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	69	72	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.11	28	-9	37	14.5	15.9	-1.37	17.0	18.8	-1.84
Vince Carter	72	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.06	25	-6	31	15.1	13.9	1.14	17.8	15.3	2.51
Richard Jefferson	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.09	23	-4	27	15.2	13.2	2.03	16.6	20.7	-4.08
Josh Boone	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	3	13	14.5	15.2	-0.68	17.1	17.5	-0.41
Nenad Krstic	32	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	8	3	14.4	15.1	-0.65	17.3	17.4	-0.07
Malik Allen	23	23	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	12	-5	15.5	14.6	0.84	16.3	17.7	-1.45
Sean Williams	48	46	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	12	-5	15.1	14.6	0.53	17.3	17.4	-0.16
Stromile Swift	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	8.7	15.1	-6.39	17.7	17.3	0.43
Marcus Williams	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	8.7	15.1	-6.39	18.3	17.3	1.03
Antoine Wright	17	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	28	-37	14.6	14.9	-0.26	19.3	16.9	2.41
Bostjan Nachbar	42	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.04	-6	25	-31	15.4	14.4	1.07	18.1	16.8	1.27
Darrell Armstrong	24	22	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	30	-41	15.2	14.7	0.54	18.1	17.1	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, WAS 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAC 98, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAC 86, LAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%