NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	3.9 [1002]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +10.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.8 [877]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -12.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Lavor Postell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	10	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.01	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	18	52%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Mark Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	70%	-0.03	5	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.02	20	62%	0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	71%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	5	37%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	32.3	15.6	31.4	2.6	30.2	138.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.4%

POR +2.9%

POR +17.1%

POR +11.3%

NYK -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	16.9	15.7	15.5	89.8	107.9	100.9
season	16.4	15.8		99.2	103.9
opponent	15.8	16.1		100.3	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.0	16.9	17.7	15.9	16.9
POR	15.1	14.4	13.7	20.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	34	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-21	25	15.9	17.5	-1.64	17.0	14.8	2.16
Kurt Thomas	44	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-21	25	16.0	17.8	-1.82	17.1	14.2	2.84
Othella Harrington	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-16	15	11.1	17.4	-6.24	18.1	15.5	2.69
Lavor Postell	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	9.2	17.3	-8.15	22.0	15.3	6.71
Travis Knight	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	9.2	17.3	-8.15	22.0	15.3	6.71
Felton Spencer	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	9.2	17.3	-8.15	22.0	15.3	6.71
Glen Rice	46	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-16	15	16.7	17.1	-0.40	16.0	15.3	0.62
Latrell Sprewell	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-2	-13	17.0	16.3	0.71	15.3	17.5	-2.25
Mark Jackson	52	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	2	-21	17.5	16.1	1.41	14.5	17.4	-2.85
Larry Johnson	50	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	2	-21	18.2	15.2	3.00	14.0	17.8	-3.79
Allan Houston	48	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	3	-23	18.6	14.8	3.73	15.0	16.5	-1.52
Marcus Camby	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	1	-19	17.7	13.9	3.77	15.3	17.3	-2.02

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	73	72	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.14	29	-12	41	14.8	19.6	-4.83	18.4	10.1	8.26
Bonzi Wells	47	49	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.05	17	0	17	13.3	18.3	-4.92	18.2	15.3	2.88
Scottie Pippen	50	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-4	25	15.2	16.2	-1.01	19.6	13.1	6.47
Damon Stoudamire	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	11	-5	14.4	17.0	-2.68	17.3	16.4	0.87
Arvydas Sabonis	42	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	10	-3	14.6	16.6	-2.02	17.3	16.5	0.77
Rod Strickland	43	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	6	5	17.0	14.4	2.68	16.4	17.3	-0.87
Shawn Kemp	25	25	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	16	-15	19.6	14.1	5.47	14.8	17.7	-2.91
Stacey Augmon	36	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	20	-23	16.1	15.4	0.66	13.4	19.0	-5.54
Dale Davis	33	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	20	-23	15.0	16.1	-1.05	15.7	17.5	-1.75
Steven Smith	50	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	18	-19	18.6	11.8	6.79	14.3	20.0	-5.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 82, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DET 69, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 104, BOS 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%