NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	4.3 [943]		MVP	Doug Overton (BOS): +11.4%
Boston Celtics	121		Comeback	2.2 [1009]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (GSW): -11.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	18	65%	0.08	3	-0.07	13	77%	-0.01
Tim Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Sam Jacobson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	1	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.11	8	77%	-0.04	2	-0.00	14	93%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	14	40%	-0.04	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.03	6	79%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.03	15	66%	0.15	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	9	68%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	9	55%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.04
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	2.5	30.3	15.5	31.2	1.5	30.6	143.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.1%

BOS +12.9%

GSW -9.1%

BOS +17.1%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	15.2	103.0	117.5	101.7
season	14.7	14.7		97.2	102.4
opponent	15.1	14.7		103.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.0	17.2	16.6	12.5	14.7
BOS	13.1	14.1	12.2	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Jacobson	40	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-23	29	15.1	14.5	0.69	13.8	13.3	0.48
Tim Young	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	13.5	14.8	-1.28	14.0	13.5	0.51
Sam Mack	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	13.6	14.8	-1.29	14.2	13.4	0.78
Jason Caffey	50	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-15	13	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.8	12.1	2.71
Adonal Foyle	50	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-22	27	14.4	15.0	-0.62	14.1	13.0	1.10
Tony Farmer	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-15	13	14.2	14.9	-0.69	12.4	13.8	-1.43
Vonteego Cummings	55	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-14	11	14.5	15.0	-0.41	14.1	12.7	1.43
Billy Owens	35	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-5	-7	16.0	14.1	1.94	13.4	13.6	-0.15
Erick Dampier	30	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-1	-15	15.6	14.4	1.28	12.6	13.9	-1.34
Donyell Marshall	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	1	-19	14.8	14.4	0.40	12.9	14.9	-1.95
Mookie Blaylock	53	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	3	-23	15.1	14.3	0.84	12.9	14.1	-1.22
Larry Hughes	83	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.05	-22	5	-27	14.2	17.3	-3.10	13.2	14.7	-1.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	64	64	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.07	23	-6	29	12.8	14.7	-1.85	14.8	14.6	0.22
Kenny Anderson	62	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-3	23	13.2	14.0	-0.81	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Paul Pierce	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.12	10	7	3	13.6	13.4	0.25	14.9	14.4	0.53
Doug Overton	36	34	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	3	11	12.7	13.9	-1.22	15.9	14.1	1.78
Calbert Cheaney	22	23	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	7	3	13.9	13.4	0.50	16.9	14.1	2.77
Tony Battie	45	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	10	-3	13.7	13.4	0.31	14.1	15.2	-1.11
Danny Fortson	52	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	11	-5	13.5	13.5	0.01	14.8	14.6	0.21
Vitaly Potapenko	16	16	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	16	-15	14.4	13.3	1.09	15.6	14.6	1.06
Dana Barros	41	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	20	-23	14.0	13.2	0.81	14.9	14.6	0.32
Pervis Ellison	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	14.2	13.4	0.78	13.2	14.9	-1.61
Eric Williams	59	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.23	6	11	-5	13.1	14.0	-0.89	13.6	16.2	-2.57
Adrian Griffin	45	43	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	25	-33	14.7	12.6	2.05	14.2	15.1	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 118, MIN 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DET 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAC 86, LAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%