inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 87 Excitement3.3 [1106] MVPAvery Johnson (SAS): +13.2%
San Antonio Spurs 106 Comeback1.8 [939] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -16.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Hill0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.021870%0.143-0.07786%0.00
Michael Curry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04747%0.0200.00560%0.00
Don Reid0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05664%0.0040.00250%0.00
Eric Montross0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loy Vaught-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02233%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Jud Buechler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01757%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Terry Mills-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.05-0.00-0.05831%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
John Crotty-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.04617%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01557%-0.002-0.064100%0.02
Lindsey Hunter-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.03831%-0.013-0.0900%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.03-0.011023%-0.112-0.06250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Avery Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.030.041479%0.141-0.0100%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01764%0.0700.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.02793%0.122-0.0500%0.00
David Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.00585%0.091-0.023100%0.01
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02367%0.0020.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.070.010.081472%0.063-0.061173%-0.02
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01560%0.0010.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02956%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.14-0.00-0.0960%-0.052-0.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.17-0.00-0.07520%-0.036-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.426.515.627.92.025.3123.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +39.9%
DET -2.1%
SAS +1.8%
SAS +9.7%
SAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSASNBADETSASNBA
this game13.615.215.287.0106.0101.7
season14.115.5104.2101.6
opponent15.415.395.9103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET12.915.315.811.013.6
SAS13.716.014.916.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Curry58560.02-0.520.54-0.011-202113.114.4-1.3814.715.7-0.95
Eric Montross2222-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-263310.714.4-3.7216.214.91.36
Jud Buechler3333-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-222512.814.0-1.2615.714.90.74
Jerome Williams3031-0.04-0.460.430.17-7-12512.814.0-1.2314.915.3-0.43
Loy Vaught98-0.04-0.460.420.14-6-13719.213.16.1511.915.5-3.58
John Crotty3434-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-181711.814.6-2.8315.415.00.37
Don Reid4746-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-181713.613.7-0.1415.714.70.93
Terry Mills5354-0.42-0.08-0.330.11-18-1-1713.713.60.1414.715.7-0.93
Christian Laettner3939-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.04-13-6-714.613.01.6615.515.00.52
Lindsey Hunter6666-0.45-0.05-0.400.08-18-1-1714.611.82.8315.015.4-0.37
Grant Hill6061-0.48-0.02-0.460.17-223-2514.212.71.4715.414.80.61
Jerry Stackhouse4950-0.520.02-0.550.06-201-2114.213.11.0515.015.3-0.30

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Robinson53520.57-0.070.63-0.2026-73315.514.90.6014.013.30.69
Tim Duncan74730.52-0.020.54-0.2426-73314.716.5-1.7514.611.03.65
Chucky Brown54560.51-0.010.52-0.0820-12115.115.2-0.0913.913.30.52
Avery Johnson57550.480.020.45-0.2023-42715.315.00.2614.412.71.63
Mario Elie65650.470.030.43-0.1822-32514.915.7-0.8414.512.02.46
Terry Porter38400.060.44-0.37-0.08514-914.815.4-0.5714.613.01.62
Samaki Walker22210.000.50-0.490.03-120-2115.415.10.2511.414.2-2.79
Steve Kerr25240.000.50-0.490.15-524-2916.014.91.0510.614.6-3.95
Antonio Daniels18170.000.50-0.500.21-726-3316.714.81.8910.214.3-4.09
Jaren Jackson4848-0.020.52-0.530.13-524-2915.215.10.0712.814.4-1.65
Malik Rose4649-0.090.59-0.690.17-928-3715.015.3-0.2713.214.0-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 69, ATL 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
WAS 98, NOH 1200.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
GSW 104, BOS 1210.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%