NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	3.9 [1022]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): +7.8%
New Orleans Hornets	120		Comeback	1.6 [902]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): -16.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	52%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	12	35%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	11	29%	-0.05	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.00	0.07	17	72%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	78%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.03	-0.02	17	57%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.11	5	140%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.05	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.6	27.2	16.6	26.0	1.4	24.5	119.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +33.4%

NOH +3.6%

NOH +5.4%

NOH +4.0%

NOH +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NOH	NBA	WAS	NOH	NBA
this game	15.1	14.2	15.7	100.0	121.2	100.5
season	15.2	16.0		96.4	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		99.4	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	15.6	16.0	14.6	15.1
NOH	12.0	15.7	14.6	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	19	21	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-20	21	15.7	14.9	0.81	13.9	14.2	-0.39
Jared Jeffries	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-19	19	12.9	15.5	-2.64	11.9	14.6	-2.65
Mitchell Butler	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-20	21	16.1	14.9	1.15	17.3	13.6	3.74
Jarvis Hayes	38	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-21	23	14.7	15.3	-0.69	15.1	13.5	1.55
Steve Blake	30	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.19	-10	-9	-1	16.6	14.4	2.14	15.5	13.5	1.97
Christian Laettner	30	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-13	7	16.2	14.6	1.56	15.8	13.4	2.49
Etan Thomas	47	49	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-13	7	15.2	15.0	0.25	14.7	13.7	1.01
Brendan Haywood	51	50	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-6	-7	15.0	15.2	-0.25	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Kwame Brown	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	-6	-7	14.6	16.2	-1.56	13.4	15.8	-2.49
Gilbert Arenas	68	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-10	1	14.4	16.6	-2.14	13.5	15.5	-1.97
Jerry Stackhouse	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.15	-21	2	-23	15.3	14.7	0.69	13.5	15.1	-1.55
Juan Dixon	49	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	2	-23	15.3	14.9	0.37	14.0	14.3	-0.23

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	70	70	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	-9	37	13.7	15.3	-1.62	16.0	12.7	3.36
Baron Davis	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.27	26	-7	33	14.4	13.3	1.12	15.6	13.4	2.16
Jamaal Magloire	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-1	21	14.3	14.0	0.21	14.8	15.4	-0.60
P.J. Brown	54	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	0	19	13.8	14.6	-0.76	15.4	14.7	0.73
Darrell Armstrong	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	4	11	13.8	14.7	-0.87	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Stacey Augmon	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.13	8	11	-3	15.2	13.6	1.60	15.9	14.6	1.39
David West	45	44	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	19	-19	14.6	13.8	0.76	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Robert Traylor	44	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	20	-21	14.0	14.3	-0.21	15.4	14.8	0.60
Steven Smith	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	20	-21	14.3	14.1	0.24	14.1	15.5	-1.34
Bryce Drew	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	26	-33	12.9	14.4	-1.44	11.2	15.7	-4.44
George Lynch	17	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.35	-12	31	-43	14.8	14.0	0.73	11.3	15.8	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 76, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 82, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%