inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 82 Excitement3.8 [1068] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +7.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 103 Comeback1.5 [1160] LVPTerrence Ross (TOR): -11.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.010.04680%0.072-0.043100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.010.081067%0.031-0.024100%0.02
John Lucas III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.01555%0.0000.001100%0.00
Dominic McGuire0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.03425%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.03425%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Ed Davis-0.020,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.01483%0.064-0.084100%0.02
Aaron Gray-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.021100%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.04,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.01-0.011044%0.043-0.08771%-0.01
Linas Kleiza-0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.040.011535%-0.0900.001100%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.021329%-0.102-0.0220%-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01689%0.134-0.06667%-0.01
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.031169%0.082-0.03475%-0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.031546%0.061-0.02771%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.010.041071%0.072-0.04475%-0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01564%0.062-0.04475%0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.021350%0.0100.00250%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Selby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.03520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01631%-0.011-0.0210%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.432.115.731.02.033.0142.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +37.6%
TOR -3.6%
MEM +10.8%
MEM +6.6%
TOR -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMEMNBATORMEMNBA
this game16.215.715.491.1113.2104.1
season16.116.5104.4102.9
opponent15.515.399.1105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.116.816.715.916.2
MEM16.815.912.617.515.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson34320.09-0.590.67-0.127-283516.915.71.1514.616.3-1.69
Dominic McGuire660.00-0.500.50-0.093-242711.216.5-5.3619.815.44.47
Quincy Acy880.00-0.500.500.06-2-191711.716.6-4.8519.215.33.94
John Lucas III1617-0.04-0.460.41-0.02-1-201913.416.8-3.4016.015.60.42
Jose Calderon3537-0.13-0.370.250.20-11-10-116.615.90.7613.517.1-3.66
Terrence Ross6059-0.17-0.330.170.13-10-11115.517.5-2.0514.817.3-2.50
Jonas Valanciunas4949-0.27-0.23-0.050.08-12-9-317.115.02.1417.014.12.90
Aaron Gray3638-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-8-514.517.3-2.7815.016.2-1.18
Kyle Lowry4949-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-10-116.415.80.6216.514.71.76
Linas Kleiza4547-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-8-517.315.02.2916.215.01.19
DeMar DeRozan5959-0.40-0.10-0.290.13-18-3-1516.715.11.6816.015.10.92
Ed Davis5354-0.580.08-0.660.12-243-2716.615.51.0615.316.1-0.80

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley62610.60-0.100.70-0.3131-104114.019.3-5.3616.415.70.65
Zach Randolph56570.480.020.46-0.081921716.813.83.0716.515.60.89
Rudy Gay50500.470.030.45-0.3227-63315.416.0-0.6216.515.70.84
Tony Allen55540.370.130.24-0.161831515.316.2-0.8916.116.2-0.05
Marc Gasol64620.360.140.21-0.201921715.216.8-1.6416.515.41.12
Marreese Speights48470.190.31-0.12-0.101011-115.116.3-1.1715.516.9-1.37
Wayne Ellington25250.170.33-0.17-0.04714-715.215.8-0.6317.815.52.32
Hamed Haddadi13140.040.46-0.420.16-425-2916.215.60.6715.516.3-0.79
Josh Selby660.000.50-0.500.09-324-2719.815.44.4711.216.5-5.36
Quincy Pondexter4745-0.080.58-0.660.18-930-3915.715.60.1815.516.8-1.31
Jerryd Bayless2929-0.100.60-0.700.19-1031-4119.314.05.3615.716.4-0.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 84, NYK 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
MIA 68, ORL 940.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
DAL 86, GSW 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%