NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	118		Excitement	4.6 [930]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +20.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	124		Comeback	2.2 [828]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -16.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	18	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	86%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.15	-0.01	0.08	14	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.03	13	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Arron Afflalo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	9	45%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.01	0.06	9	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	7	29%	-0.06
Nikola Vucevic	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	13	42%	-0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.04	-0.04	19	60%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.02	-0.05	11	72%	0.18	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	11	69%	0.13	1	-0.00	10	90%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.00	0.07	11	75%	0.11	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	41%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.05	15	51%	0.01	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.5	14.4	30.5	2.3	38.5	139.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.8%

MIN +12.0%

ORL -3.2%

MIN +15.9%

MIN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	12.7	15.0	14.7	112.4	120.4	107.5
season	14.6	15.3		104.2	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		110.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.2	14.3	14.5	9.9	12.7
MIN	15.5	12.4	14.3	18.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	29	30	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.23	-6	0	-6	15.9	11.5	4.39	13.4	15.7	-2.35
Arron Afflalo	22	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.23	-7	1	-8	16.5	11.7	4.83	12.5	15.7	-3.23
Jonathon Simmons	36	38	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.33	-11	5	-16	14.9	11.6	3.31	13.9	15.7	-1.84
D.J. Augustin	28	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	-1	-4	14.4	12.1	2.38	11.1	16.7	-5.59
Marreese Speights	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.24	-9	3	-12	15.4	11.9	3.49	12.1	15.9	-3.84
Evan Fournier	78	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.56	3	-9	12	11.4	16.5	-5.16	15.9	12.9	2.92
Aaron Gordon	82	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.56	3	-9	12	11.8	16.0	-4.19	15.9	12.1	3.84
Terrence Ross	76	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.59	3	-9	12	11.7	15.1	-3.39	15.7	13.4	2.30
Elfrid Payton	75	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.50	-1	-5	4	12.2	13.9	-1.70	16.6	11.6	5.03
Nikola Vucevic	75	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.55	0	-6	6	11.6	15.4	-3.80	15.7	13.4	2.35

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	87	90	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.05	21	-15	36	15.1	14.5	0.63	12.2	15.6	-3.40
Jimmy Butler	79	81	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-9	24	15.2	14.3	0.91	11.9	15.4	-3.49
Jeff Teague	81	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-6	18	15.4	13.6	1.77	12.2	14.6	-2.47
Andrew Wiggins	88	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-13	32	15.0	15.3	-0.36	12.2	15.5	-3.32
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-1	8	15.3	14.2	1.02	12.0	14.7	-2.62
Gorgui Dieng	24	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	7	-8	14.2	15.3	-1.02	14.7	12.0	2.62
Shabazz Muhammad	15	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.32	-13	19	-32	15.3	15.0	0.36	15.5	12.2	3.32
Tyus Jones	22	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	12	-18	13.6	15.4	-1.77	14.6	12.2	2.47
Nemanja Bjelica	16	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.31	-16	22	-38	14.5	15.1	-0.63	15.6	12.2	3.40
Jamal Crawford	24	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	14	-22	14.3	15.2	-0.91	15.4	11.9	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, BOS 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
WAS 108, PHX 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 69, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%