NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	4.2 [1025]		MVP	Hakim Warrick (PHX): +16.5%
Phoenix Suns	125		Comeback	2.2 [962]		LVP	JaVale McGee (WAS): -4.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	14	65%	0.11	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Andray Blatche	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.03	13	80%	0.12	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Al Thornton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	69%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.05	13	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	14	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	12	43%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
JaVale McGee	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.03	13	72%	0.17	1	-0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	8	105%	0.20	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.06	0.05	13	70%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	3	60%	0.04	1	0.00	4	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Garret Siler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.6	28.9	15.7	25.5	2.4	30.3	133.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +23.8%

PHX +9.9%

PHX +7.5%

PHX +9.4%

WAS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	13.2	15.5	109.1	126.3	105.7
season	15.1	14.5		100.9	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.2		109.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	18.8	17.6	12.7	15.9
PHX	13.7	10.8	13.1	15.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	18	17	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-20	23	12.3	16.8	-4.48	14.9	12.8	2.16
Cartier Martin	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	10.8	16.3	-5.44	10.2	13.3	-3.18
Trevor Booker	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-16	15	13.0	17.1	-4.11	14.3	12.7	1.64
Nick Young	47	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-15	13	15.2	16.6	-1.34	13.4	12.9	0.51
Hilton Armstrong	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-13	9	15.7	16.0	-0.22	9.0	13.7	-4.72
Yi Jianlian	55	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-14	11	15.3	16.7	-1.34	13.9	12.3	1.62
Gilbert Arenas	65	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-10	3	15.2	17.4	-2.15	13.6	12.3	1.32
Andray Blatche	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-6	-5	16.4	15.0	1.43	13.5	12.4	1.15
John Wall	89	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-9	1	15.9	16.4	-0.51	13.5	10.8	2.64
JaVale McGee	35	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-2	-13	18.5	14.6	3.89	11.8	13.9	-2.10
Alonzo Gee	33	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	1	-19	19.3	14.3	5.05	11.8	13.8	-1.95
Kirk Hinrich	39	39	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.03	-20	3	-23	17.8	14.7	3.02	12.2	13.8	-1.65

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	52	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-1	19	13.4	12.8	0.61	16.6	15.2	1.46
Jason Richardson	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-2	21	13.2	13.1	0.16	16.7	14.6	2.09
Steve Nash	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	0	17	13.3	13.0	0.29	16.7	14.7	2.06
Grant Hill	44	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	1	15	13.2	13.1	0.14	18.0	14.3	3.70
Hakim Warrick	60	59	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.14	14	3	11	12.8	13.7	-0.85	16.0	15.8	0.19
Earl Barron	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	13	-9	14.6	12.5	2.08	16.9	15.5	1.45
Jared Dudley	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	16	-15	13.1	13.2	-0.14	14.3	18.0	-3.70
Goran Dragic	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	17	-17	13.0	13.3	-0.29	14.7	16.7	-2.06
Josh Childress	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	19	-21	13.1	13.2	-0.16	14.6	16.7	-2.09
Hedo Turkoglu	40	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	17	-17	13.4	13.0	0.42	15.9	15.9	0.02
Garret Siler	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	9.6	13.4	-3.85	10.7	16.3	-5.62
Earl Clark	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	9.6	13.4	-3.85	10.7	16.3	-5.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1	96.2%
ATL 78, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIN 82, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%