NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	82		Excitement	3.6 [1064]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +3.6%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	2.2 [883]		LVP	Loren Woods (MIN): -13.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Slater	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Igor Rakocevic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	60%	0.00	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.07	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	57%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	12	33%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	13	54%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.05	13	65%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	6	33%	-0.01	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	34.8	14.8	31.0	0.7	28.6	134.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +2.6%

NJN +3.1%

NJN +4.8%

NJN +33.9%

NJN +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NJN	NBA	MIN	NJN	NBA
this game	13.6	15.0	15.5	81.2	106.0	101.6
season	14.9	15.0		104.0	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		96.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	13.0	14.2	12.8	13.6
NJN	14.3	17.0	13.0	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Igor Rakocevic	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-20	16	12.4	14.1	-1.70	15.5	14.9	0.65
Reggie Slater	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.20	-8	-16	8	13.0	13.9	-0.85	14.5	15.2	-0.76
Rod Strickland	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.22	-10	-14	4	12.6	14.1	-1.49	14.6	15.2	-0.54
Gary Trent	47	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	-13	2	13.1	14.1	-0.96	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Rasho Nesterovic	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-20	16	13.8	13.5	0.35	15.8	14.3	1.56
Marc Jackson	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-15	6	13.2	13.9	-0.76	15.1	15.0	0.18
Anthony Peeler	74	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-16	8	14.2	12.0	2.19	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Kendall Gill	40	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-9	-6	13.0	14.1	-1.11	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Loren Woods	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-12	0	14.6	12.9	1.71	15.8	14.4	1.40
Kevin Garnett	73	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.20	-21	-3	-18	14.1	12.5	1.53	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Troy Hudson	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	-6	-12	14.1	13.1	1.06	15.1	15.0	0.08

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	2	20	14.4	16.1	-1.77	14.0	13.0	1.06
Kenyon Martin	55	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	7	10	14.7	15.5	-0.81	14.4	12.6	1.80
Kerry Kittles	50	49	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	9	6	15.4	14.6	0.80	14.3	13.0	1.25
Richard Jefferson	65	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	7	10	15.2	14.7	0.43	13.8	13.3	0.50
Dikembe Mutombo	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	14	-4	15.7	14.4	1.25	14.4	13.0	1.33
Rodney Rogers	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	11	2	14.5	15.4	-0.85	12.9	14.2	-1.28
Lucious Harris	40	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	15	-6	14.7	15.2	-0.45	12.9	14.2	-1.26
Aaron Williams	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.18	11	13	-2	14.6	15.3	-0.75	12.8	14.2	-1.37
Jason Collins	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	20	-16	15.5	14.7	0.80	13.0	14.1	-1.17
Anthony Johnson	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	22	-20	16.0	14.7	1.36	12.8	13.9	-1.17
Brian Scalabrine	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	14.9	15.0	-0.12	13.8	13.6	0.23
Tamar Slay	22	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	24	-24	15.3	14.9	0.38	13.5	13.7	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 78, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
POR 93, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1	96.2%
MEM 91, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%