inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 117 Excitement9.0 [153] MVPKevin Porter Jr. (MIL): +55.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 128 Comeback5.6 [126] LVPTyler Herro (MIA): -10.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kel'el Ware0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.090.12-0.00870%0.2100.00475%0.01
Norman Powell0.140,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.08-0.021462%0.256-0.121479%0.04
Pelle Larsson0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.050.00662%0.122-0.064100%0.04
Davion Mitchell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.010.014100%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.010.07-0.08-0.011257%0.0100.00450%-0.11
Myron Gardner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.01950%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Dru Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.070,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.070.001947%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Tyler Herro-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.001740%-0.013-0.101100%-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.560.560.200.35-0.012067%0.601-0.048100%0.07
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.150.09-0.001475%0.281-0.0400%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.110.12-0.00692%0.2300.0000%0.00
AJ Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00657%0.0400.002100%0.00
Jericho Sims0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.040.040.020.024100%0.112-0.0800%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ryan Rollins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.050.021662%0.104-0.142100%0.01
Cam Thomas0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.001026%-0.0800.00367%-0.01
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.02-0.070.041653%-0.042-0.05450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.522.30.029.00.036.10.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +72.6%
MIA -6.1%
MIA -19.0%
MIL +3.7%
MIA -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game12.114.814.2109.3119.6113.4
season12.814.7113.9111.3
opponent14.314.4117.0110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.412.310.912.912.1
MIL14.717.013.514.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.76770.18-0.680.870.045-162112.411.50.8714.615.3-0.75
Dru Smith41420.15-0.650.81-0.026-172311.612.4-0.7613.015.9-2.91
Kasparas Jaku?ionis61600.12-0.620.730.062-131512.012.2-0.1614.814.8-0.03
Kel'el Ware76760.01-0.510.510.04-1-10912.311.60.6914.316.1-1.83
Myron Gardner1315-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-10913.811.91.9017.714.33.34
Pelle Larsson9596-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-111112.49.72.6514.815.0-0.23
Tyler Herro105105-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.18-6-5-112.28.53.6714.812.52.34
Andrew Wiggins9089-0.500.00-0.51-0.27-8-3-512.410.61.8014.814.70.09
Bam Adebayo8585-0.550.05-0.59-0.22-110-1112.311.21.1014.715.0-0.32
Norman Powell9192-0.580.08-0.66-0.23-121-1312.410.32.1115.013.61.39
Davion Mitchell8483-0.610.11-0.72-0.40-7-4-312.510.61.9614.615.6-1.02

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
AJ Green86870.61-0.110.730.291101114.715.3-0.6112.311.11.23
Kevin Porter Jr.1031040.53-0.030.560.211101114.813.51.3412.113.3-1.27
Jericho Sims97960.440.060.370.2083514.716.0-1.3312.310.51.74
Ryan Rollins93920.340.160.190.2538-514.615.8-1.1412.410.51.90
Myles Turner5857-0.030.53-0.560.06-314-1714.914.70.1512.112.1-0.03
Kyle Kuzma8484-0.130.63-0.75-0.07-213-1514.615.5-0.9312.610.22.46
Bobby Portis9190-0.150.65-0.81-0.07-314-1714.615.9-1.3412.510.12.43
Ousmane Dieng8987-0.170.67-0.85-0.03-516-2114.615.9-1.3212.410.81.54
Cam Thomas8585-0.330.83-1.15-0.09-819-2714.814.80.0311.913.0-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.53,0.39,0.63,0.91,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 109, CHI 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,192.4%
POR 103, SAS 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.89,0.98,1,191.6%
HOU 104, MIA 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.91,0.99,190.9%