NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	8.2 [193]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +32.1%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	4.8 [487]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -29.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	7	86%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	11	73%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	19	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	13	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	17	49%	-0.09	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	4	57%	0.02	5	-0.31	6	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.21	0.00	7	94%	0.36	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.20
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	24	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	24	92%	0.09
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	60%	0.07	3	-0.10	11	73%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	1	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	32.2	17.7	27.3	3.2	42.5	151.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -28.8%

CHI +52.3%

CHI +6.9%

CHI +25.6%

NYK -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	15.6	114.7	118.1	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		100.4	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.3		97.9	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	14.6	14.2	14.7	14.5
CHI	17.0	14.8	17.9	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	90	88	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-1	0	14.6	12.4	2.18	16.0	15.7	0.38
Buck Williams	63	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.45	9	-11	20	14.3	14.8	-0.57	16.6	14.9	1.67
Anthony Bowie	56	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-1	0	15.1	13.6	1.53	15.9	16.2	-0.32
John Starks	26	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	5	-12	13.1	15.0	-1.86	17.0	15.7	1.31
Allan Houston	64	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-6	10	13.8	15.8	-1.95	16.2	15.6	0.58
Charlie Ward	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.50	5	-7	12	14.7	13.1	1.66	16.1	15.6	0.50
Terry Cummings	49	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	5	-12	14.2	14.7	-0.49	15.0	17.1	-2.09
Chris Childs	47	47	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.44	-12	10	-22	15.2	13.8	1.40	15.6	16.5	-0.94

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	66	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.54	3	-1	4	15.3	17.6	-2.31	15.1	12.9	2.18
Steve Kerr	66	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-7	16	16.1	15.8	0.28	14.0	15.6	-1.53
Dennis Rodman	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.52	-6	8	-14	16.7	14.2	2.53	14.3	14.8	-0.44
Michael Jordan	78	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.52	-6	8	-14	15.9	16.7	-0.88	14.7	13.1	1.61
Randy Brown	26	27	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-9	20	15.8	16.1	-0.30	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Scott Burrell	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	-2	6	17.0	15.3	1.63	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Dickey Simpkins	26	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	-6	14	14.2	16.7	-2.53	14.8	14.3	0.44
Toni Kukoc	58	57	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	5	-8	16.9	14.6	2.38	14.6	14.3	0.25
Ron Harper	28	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	15.8	16.1	-0.28	15.6	14.0	1.53
Jud Buechler	15	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	7	-12	14.2	16.4	-2.17	12.6	14.8	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	91.9%
UTA 104, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.68,0.99,1	91.7%
DEN 116, CHA 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.35,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.78,0.77,0.85,1	91.7%