NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	7.4 [370]		MVP	Joe Johnson (UTA): +51.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	4.5 [468]		LVP	George Hill (UTA): -16.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.23	0.27	-0.01	16	85%	0.57	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1	0.17	-0.04	0.03	17	67%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	4	56%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	67%	0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.00	-0.14	0.02	18	47%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.24	0.20	0.04	20	80%	0.53	4	-0.12	9	100%	0.08
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.17	0.03	16	64%	0.30	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	-0.00	10	82%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	5	110%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	27.8	14.8	22.8	1.8	35.4	130.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.5%

POR +17.7%

POR +8.1%

UTA -5.6%

UTA -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	14.9	14.8	114.3	121.5	107.7
season	16.1	14.9		108.0	108.6
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	16.2	16.3	17.4	16.5
POR	16.8	13.2	15.7	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.20	-9	0	-9	18.3	15.8	2.56	16.2	14.4	1.76
Trey Lyles	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.19	-11	2	-13	15.9	16.9	-0.99	13.8	15.5	-1.72
Rodney Hood	72	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-14	19	16.4	16.5	-0.08	15.1	14.1	0.99
Rudy Gobert	75	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.40	7	-16	23	16.6	15.9	0.64	15.1	13.5	1.60
George Hill	71	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-11	13	16.6	15.8	0.85	15.1	13.9	1.21
Jeff Withey	11	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	2	-13	16.2	16.5	-0.32	12.6	15.1	-2.53
Shelvin Mack	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	0	-9	14.8	17.3	-2.43	13.5	15.6	-2.11
Joe Johnson	58	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-7	5	16.5	16.4	0.15	14.9	14.8	0.02
Dante Exum	17	18	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	9	-27	15.7	16.6	-0.93	13.6	15.2	-1.55
Boris Diaw	60	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-10	11	16.7	15.9	0.80	15.5	13.6	1.98

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	47	45	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.27	21	-12	33	14.2	15.5	-1.31	17.3	15.7	1.59
CJ McCollum	69	67	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-3	15	14.4	16.1	-1.70	16.5	16.2	0.29
Allen Crabbe	54	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-5	19	15.0	14.7	0.29	17.1	15.5	1.61
Noah Vonleh	31	29	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-5	19	14.5	15.0	-0.52	17.9	15.8	2.11
Damian Lillard	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	8	-7	15.4	13.3	2.10	16.3	16.9	-0.56
Al-Farouq Aminu	56	55	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	9	-9	14.9	14.8	0.04	16.1	17.1	-0.98
Evan Turner	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.15	10	-1	11	15.0	14.7	0.25	16.6	16.3	0.21
Mason Plumlee	26	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	16	-23	16.5	14.2	2.28	17.2	16.2	1.03
Meyers Leonard	20	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	16	-23	14.2	15.0	-0.78	13.5	17.2	-3.71
Maurice Harkless	46	45	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.13	-13	22	-35	14.6	15.1	-0.50	15.2	17.7	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.68,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.33,0.2,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	93.7%
NYK 109, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,1	91.7%
NJN 86, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.76,1,1	91.1%