NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	2.5 [948]		MVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (ATL): +6.2%
Atlanta Hawks	119		Comeback	1.0 [969]		LVP	Bub Carrington (WAS): -8.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Champagnie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	8	87%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Riley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.00	0.12	8	95%	0.03	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jamir Watkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.09	8	87%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alondes Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sharife Cooper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tristan Vukcevic	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tre Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	12	31%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kyshawn George	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	46%	-0.02	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Bub Carrington	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	52%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.21	0.00	0.16	12	87%	0.06	2	-0.01	7	86%	-0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	11	37%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	12	29%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	17	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.2	31.1	0.0	28.2	0.0	29.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +17.9%

ATL +7.5%

ATL +12.3%

ATL +12.0%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.0	13.9	14.2	91.6	111.2	113.4
season	13.9	13.3		108.6	113.1
opponent	14.4	14.0		112.3	119.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	12.7	13.2	12.3	13.0
ATL	12.5	13.5	12.1	18.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alondes Williams	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-36	51	12.3	13.1	-0.78	18.2	12.7	5.47
Jamir Watkins	80	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-15	9	12.8	13.6	-0.79	14.4	12.5	1.88
Kyshawn George	58	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.35	-23	2	-25	13.0	13.0	0.01	13.1	14.8	-1.64
Will Riley	95	94	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-7	-7	12.8	14.5	-1.73	14.2	11.6	2.63
Tristan Vukcevic	53	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	-4	-13	14.0	11.9	2.09	14.5	13.3	1.24
Sharife Cooper	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.24	-22	1	-23	13.1	12.7	0.38	14.2	13.0	1.20
Tre Johnson	62	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.47	-32	11	-43	14.3	11.1	3.27	13.3	14.7	-1.39
Anthony Gill	105	104	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.14	-21	0	-21	12.9	18.5	-5.64	13.9	15.3	-1.45
Bilal Coulibaly	74	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.38	-30	9	-39	13.5	11.8	1.61	13.0	15.9	-2.91
Justin Champagnie	74	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.69	-41	20	-61	13.7	11.3	2.44	12.5	17.1	-4.64
Bub Carrington	79	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.24	-26	5	-31	13.4	11.7	1.69	14.2	13.1	1.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.38	30	-9	39	13.5	16.7	-3.15	13.1	12.2	0.83
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	83	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.56	36	-15	51	12.7	18.2	-5.47	13.1	12.3	0.78
Zaccharie Risacher	90	90	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	1	19	14.2	12.6	1.52	13.2	11.8	1.42
Jock Landale	79	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	-1	23	14.6	12.1	2.41	13.4	11.8	1.58
Dyson Daniels	67	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.47	29	-8	37	13.0	15.5	-2.59	13.2	12.6	0.64
Onyeka Okongwu	61	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.30	23	-2	25	13.3	14.7	-1.43	13.3	12.5	0.75
Gabe Vincent	80	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.18	19	2	17	14.1	13.5	0.54	13.1	12.7	0.38
CJ McCollum	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	13	-5	14.4	13.4	1.03	13.2	12.7	0.50
Mouhamed Gueye	70	70	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	12	-3	14.6	12.7	1.87	13.4	12.2	1.18
Corey Kispert	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.42	-10	31	-41	15.9	12.6	3.27	13.1	12.9	0.26
Jalen Johnson	13	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	19	-17	13.6	14.0	-0.35	12.2	13.1	-0.92
Keaton Wallace	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	36	-51	18.2	12.7	5.47	12.3	13.1	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 81, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CHI 74, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CHA 91, MIA 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%