inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 74 Excitement2.1 [1228] MVPDana Barros (BOS): +3.9%
Boston Celtics 104 Comeback1.0 [1227] LVPElton Brand (CHI): -11.8%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Benjamin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01862%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Matt Maloney0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.012100%0.032-0.021100%0.00
Chris Anstey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.00762%0.022-0.022100%0.01
Chris Carr0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Perdue0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05125%0.0010.00250%0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00667%0.003-0.026100%0.01
Michael Ruffin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.0510%-0.012-0.0220%0.00
Dickey Simpkins-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.04237%-0.022-0.02475%-0.00
Randy Brown-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.031150%-0.014-0.06887%0.00
Hersey Hawkins-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.0440%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Elton Brand-0.120,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.250.00-0.131935%-0.036-0.08850%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03756%0.0410.002100%0.01
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00757%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.05973%0.041-0.02450%-0.02
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.002125%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.05961%0.024-0.01580%0.01
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.00-0.07644%0.0120.00475%0.00
Doug Overton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pervis Ellison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.110.00-0.11725%0.002-0.002100%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.001152%0.001-0.01771%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.011041%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04533%-0.011-0.002100%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03845%0.011-0.02475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.430.215.824.41.829.4129.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +18.1%
BOS +6.8%
BOS +4.6%
BOS +19.9%
BOS +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIBOSNBACHIBOSNBA
this game16.712.515.274.7106.1101.7
season16.514.791.8102.4
opponent15.114.9103.3102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.716.817.217.216.7
BOS11.312.512.813.512.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Perdue19190.00-0.500.500.000-303015.617.0-1.3614.112.11.94
Corey Benjamin3133-0.02-0.480.46-0.206-364215.217.4-2.1913.512.01.45
Matt Maloney3033-0.14-0.360.230.07-7-231617.916.21.6811.812.8-1.06
Chris Anstey2729-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-252019.115.83.2312.212.6-0.45
Chris Carr3940-0.17-0.330.170.24-14-16217.616.21.4211.613.1-1.46
Dickey Simpkins4441-0.19-0.310.120.28-16-14-215.717.5-1.8412.612.40.12
Michael Ruffin2831-0.20-0.300.090.15-12-18617.516.41.0812.612.40.13
Randy Brown6965-0.36-0.14-0.230.31-23-7-1616.217.9-1.6812.811.81.06
Fred Hoiberg8279-0.39-0.11-0.280.34-25-5-2016.219.3-3.1012.711.61.13
Hersey Hawkins4644-0.42-0.08-0.350.37-27-3-2418.015.72.3012.212.8-0.60
Elton Brand8076-0.47-0.03-0.430.33-27-3-2416.517.7-1.2512.113.7-1.54

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker58610.440.060.38-0.443003012.013.2-1.1616.117.7-1.51
Kenny Anderson54560.420.080.35-0.402822612.212.9-0.6816.217.4-1.14
Paul Pierce64660.390.110.29-0.312461812.213.1-0.8716.018.2-2.23
Adrian Griffin41430.260.240.01-0.301911812.112.7-0.5917.216.40.77
Vitaly Potapenko27280.240.26-0.02-0.081119-812.112.6-0.5718.416.12.27
Danny Fortson48490.230.27-0.03-0.151317-412.912.10.7116.017.4-1.36
Eric Williams49490.200.30-0.09-0.121119-812.112.9-0.8216.916.50.42
Calbert Cheaney30290.150.35-0.21-0.151020-1013.312.11.1218.116.21.95
Dana Barros45440.100.40-0.30-0.02426-2212.912.10.7817.016.50.49
Tony Battie39370.060.44-0.380.09-131-3212.212.7-0.4317.516.31.17
Doug Overton12110.000.50-0.500.12-434-3815.012.12.8614.917.0-2.05
Pervis Ellison2322-0.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2013.712.11.6317.316.60.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 112, GSW 1280.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
ATL 78, MIL 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
POR 89, SAS 1240.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%