NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	2.5 [1258]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +18.2%
Golden State Warriors	128		Comeback	1.0 [1296]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -7.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	6	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	15	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.08	7	69%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	77%	0.03	3	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	19	41%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.30	0.00	0.12	22	79%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	23	71%	0.14	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	3	80%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	9	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.2	32.3	15.7	24.5	2.5	29.2	129.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.1%

GSW +2.3%

GSW +6.4%

GSW +5.1%

GSW +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	14.9	114.3	130.6	105.1
season	15.0	13.7		107.1	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.6		102.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	14.1	16.2	16.6	15.4
GSW	12.1	13.6	13.3	17.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-24	32	16.6	15.1	1.52	17.7	13.0	4.71
Brian Roberts	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-24	32	17.1	14.8	2.29	16.5	13.2	3.32
Maurice Harkless	40	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-24	32	15.3	15.4	-0.09	15.9	12.7	3.19
Noah Vonleh	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.28	-15	-1	-14	16.2	14.9	1.30	12.9	14.7	-1.82
Meyers Leonard	52	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-20	24	15.8	14.9	0.88	15.3	12.4	2.90
Mason Plumlee	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	-1	-14	14.7	15.9	-1.12	12.6	15.0	-2.37
Ed Davis	21	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-7	-2	14.0	15.7	-1.69	12.5	14.5	-2.01
Gerald Henderson	29	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-5	-6	14.4	15.8	-1.37	12.8	14.6	-1.79
Allen Crabbe	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-20	24	15.5	15.2	0.34	14.7	13.0	1.72
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.40	-25	9	-34	15.3	15.4	-0.11	12.7	15.0	-2.26
Damian Lillard	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	0	-16	14.8	16.4	-1.58	12.9	16.3	-3.41
CJ McCollum	56	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.24	-21	5	-26	15.3	15.5	-0.21	13.5	14.7	-1.14

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	63	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.53	34	-18	52	14.0	14.0	0.06	15.8	14.6	1.12
Harrison Barnes	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	-1	18	14.0	14.1	-0.07	16.2	14.1	2.13
Draymond Green	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	-1	18	12.9	16.7	-3.81	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Stephen Curry	63	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	2	12	12.7	16.3	-3.63	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Andrew Bogut	38	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.30	19	-3	22	12.7	14.8	-2.08	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Andre Iguodala	31	31	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	9	-2	13.9	14.0	-0.11	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Anderson Varejao	21	21	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	14	-12	17.8	13.0	4.84	16.5	15.1	1.40
Shaun Livingston	29	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	18	-20	15.9	13.2	2.63	15.6	15.3	0.32
Marreese Speights	23	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	13	-10	13.1	14.3	-1.21	14.7	15.6	-0.95
Brandon Rush	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.27	-7	23	-30	16.4	13.0	3.40	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Leandro Barbosa	35	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.56	-18	34	-52	14.0	14.0	-0.06	14.6	15.8	-1.12
Ian Clark	11	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	15	-14	15.4	13.8	1.52	16.4	15.2	1.16
James Michael McAdoo	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	14.9	13.8	1.03	15.9	15.3	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 74, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
ATL 78, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
BKN 81, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%