inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 78 Excitement1.8 [1254] MVPTim Thomas (MIL): +10.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 111 Comeback1.1 [1003] LVPBimbo Coles (ATL): -5.0%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.02756%0.021-0.00250%-0.01
Jason Terry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.011155%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.140.000.131082%0.0000.002100%0.00
Cal Bowdler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dion Glover0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Roshown McLeod-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07425%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Isaiah Rider-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.011150%-0.002-0.022100%0.00
Jim Jackson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.001150%-0.003-0.0300%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03737%-0.042-0.0120%-0.02
Chris Crawford-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.010.04789%0.1000.00475%-0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.011461%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.120.000.061570%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02862%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02580%0.0020.0000%0.00
Mirsad Turkcan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.0020.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02667%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04858%0.024-0.04333%-0.02
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.021350%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02631%-0.0400.00475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.10.724.415.723.50.323.1109.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +26.9%
ATL -0.9%
MIL +18.9%
MIL +3.0%
MIL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMILNBAATLMILNBA
this game16.415.815.286.7124.7101.7
season15.414.999.3105.5
opponent15.415.2105.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL17.715.418.114.616.4
MIL17.414.614.616.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dion Glover10100.00-0.500.50-0.062-353712.416.9-4.4918.715.43.28
Cal Bowdler2323-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-343514.617.0-2.3916.715.51.23
Roshown McLeod3535-0.01-0.490.480.14-5-282316.216.5-0.2615.516.0-0.54
Bimbo Coles1920-0.18-0.320.140.06-8-251717.516.11.3816.815.51.37
LaPhonso Ellis1920-0.18-0.320.140.06-8-251717.516.11.3816.815.51.37
Lorenzen Wright4547-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-282315.217.6-2.4716.515.01.58
Isaiah Rider4646-0.24-0.260.030.17-14-19516.216.6-0.3514.217.5-3.25
Chris Crawford2826-0.28-0.22-0.060.31-20-13-717.016.10.8916.515.51.01
Jason Terry7169-0.32-0.18-0.140.41-25-8-1716.117.5-1.3815.516.8-1.37
Dikembe Mutombo5148-0.35-0.15-0.190.50-29-4-2516.915.71.2715.216.4-1.16
Jim Jackson4846-0.36-0.14-0.220.40-26-7-1917.015.71.2616.115.40.67
Alan Henderson5555-0.40-0.10-0.310.42-28-5-2317.414.82.6015.216.7-1.44

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ervin Johnson56570.470.030.44-0.5334-13516.115.20.8617.414.62.77
Sam Cassell59600.450.050.40-0.493213116.115.10.9917.214.72.48
Glenn Robinson47490.430.070.37-0.453032715.016.7-1.7116.915.81.03
Ray Allen55560.370.130.25-0.452852315.316.6-1.3017.414.62.80
Darvin Ham49500.320.180.15-0.3523101316.215.30.8817.415.12.28
Scott Williams33320.180.32-0.14-0.141122-1114.816.4-1.5416.216.5-0.31
Tim Thomas50490.140.36-0.230.02429-2515.616.1-0.5215.217.8-2.51
Vinny Del Negro34330.130.37-0.240.01429-2516.015.70.3515.516.9-1.33
Rafer Alston24250.000.50-0.500.03-134-3516.115.70.4113.617.5-3.92
Mirsad Turkcan20210.000.50-0.50-0.03132-3116.715.51.2414.217.0-2.81
Robert Traylor18180.000.50-0.500.03-134-3516.815.51.2414.516.9-2.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 74, BOS 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
ATL 68, DAL 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
ATL 88, LAL 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.97,197.8%