NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	114		Excitement	7.3 [342]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +38.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	6.0 [319]		LVP	Cam Spencer (MEM): -21.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Coward	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Wells	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.03	0.08	16	64%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.00	8	44%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
GG Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Christian Koloko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javon Small	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.07	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	14	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	13	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Cam Spencer	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	10	22%	-0.18	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.22	-0.00	14	68%	0.43	1	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Luka Don?i?	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.21	0.17	0.10	0.05	20	68%	0.28	3	-0.06	13	92%	0.03
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.04	0.04	16	72%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	8	68%	0.15	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	44%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	5	30%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.2	30.3	14.3	31.2	2.2	42.8	148.6
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.3%

LAL +6.0%

LAL +6.4%

MEM -11.1%

MEM -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	14.2	115.2	121.2	113.4
season	13.7	14.6		112.3	115.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		114.4	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.8	13.1	16.0	14.1	14.2
LAL	14.2	15.1	17.5	13.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Coward	46	45	0.33	-0.83	1.15	-0.05	13	-19	32	13.1	15.2	-2.06	14.8	14.8	0.01
Christian Koloko	65	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-3	0	14.7	13.2	1.50	15.5	13.5	2.01
Javon Small	75	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	2	-10	14.7	12.7	1.90	15.1	14.0	1.14
Santi Aldama	92	93	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-5	4	14.2	14.1	0.05	14.8	15.2	-0.37
Jock Landale	75	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	3	-12	14.7	12.5	2.18	15.2	13.7	1.47
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	82	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	8	-22	14.6	12.3	2.29	15.2	13.1	2.12
GG Jackson	79	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.5	12.8	1.68	15.5	12.4	3.03
Jaren Jackson Jr.	99	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.2	0.0	14.19	14.8	0.0	14.82
Cam Spencer	99	98	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	0	-6	14.2	0.0	14.19	14.9	6.0	8.91
Jaylen Wells	70	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	3	-12	14.3	13.9	0.47	14.5	15.7	-1.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	94	94	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-9	24	14.5	20.2	-5.67	14.4	10.8	3.57
Deandre Ayton	86	86	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-4	14	14.6	16.2	-1.63	14.5	12.4	2.08
Jake LaRavia	89	88	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-4	14	14.4	18.2	-3.76	14.4	12.8	1.55
Luka Don?i?	99	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.8	0.0	14.82	14.2	0.0	14.19
Jarred Vanderbilt	88	90	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	3	0	15.5	9.0	6.55	14.4	12.2	2.17
Marcus Smart	82	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-1	8	14.9	14.5	0.42	14.4	13.2	1.19
Jaxson Hayes	64	66	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	3	0	15.5	13.5	1.97	14.2	14.2	0.06
Dalton Knecht	32	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	6	-6	16.0	14.3	1.75	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Nick Smith Jr.	64	65	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	12	-18	15.7	13.1	2.64	14.2	14.1	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.59,0.66,0.53,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	92.5%
IND 119, MIL 132	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.52,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.88,1,1,1	92.4%
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.3%