NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	7.0 [512]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (MIL): +41.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	132		Comeback	6.6 [391]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -10.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.24	0.01	-0.03	16	83%	0.29	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.26	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.24	0.05	0.03	17	81%	0.28	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	15	58%	0.17	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	2	125%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Nesmith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	55%	0.03	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Andrew Nembhard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.26	0.18	0.03	19	83%	0.46	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	11	86%	0.22	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	9	67%	0.21	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.09	0.02	13	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	7	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	16	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	1	100%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.7	23.6	15.3	27.3	1.8	32.2	128.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.5%

IND -2.8%

MIL +13.9%

MIL +4.6%

MIL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.7	14.4	115.5	128.2	113.4
season	13.7	14.0		113.3	113.8
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.1	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.7	10.8	14.9	16.7	13.3
MIL	14.4	14.0	13.9	16.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oshae Brissett	38	40	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.07	7	-20	27	12.7	13.7	-1.03	14.4	14.8	-0.33
Isaiah Jackson	4	4	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-16	19	8.5	13.5	-5.01	7.7	14.9	-7.18
T.J. McConnell	70	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-13	13	12.2	15.8	-3.60	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Bennedict Mathurin	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	-5	-3	12.9	13.9	-0.96	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Jalen Smith	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-8	3	14.8	12.9	1.91	16.1	14.3	1.81
Chris Duarte	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-10	7	14.9	12.3	2.64	15.0	14.4	0.54
Myles Turner	79	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-2	-9	13.2	13.8	-0.63	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Andrew Nembhard	68	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	-2	-9	13.5	12.9	0.64	15.1	13.8	1.27
Buddy Hield	83	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	6	-25	13.3	13.2	0.08	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Aaron Nesmith	51	49	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	5	-23	14.3	12.4	1.87	15.0	14.4	0.63

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	81	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-5	23	14.0	16.9	-2.81	13.4	13.0	0.45
Grayson Allen	64	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-5	23	15.0	14.1	0.92	14.2	11.7	2.55
Pat Connaughton	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	7	-1	15.3	13.6	1.70	13.4	13.2	0.21
Jordan Nwora	50	47	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	8	-3	14.9	14.4	0.52	14.0	12.7	1.31
Bobby Portis	72	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	-3	19	14.1	16.0	-1.88	13.6	12.4	1.21
Brook Lopez	74	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	1	11	15.0	13.7	1.39	12.6	15.0	-2.43
Wesley Matthews	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	9	-5	13.3	14.8	-1.54	16.5	12.8	3.69
George Hill	47	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	12	-11	14.3	14.9	-0.65	13.8	12.9	0.88
Jevon Carter	26	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	20	-27	15.2	14.5	0.78	10.5	14.3	-3.81
AJ Green	27	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	21	-29	14.7	14.6	0.07	10.7	14.2	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.52,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.88,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	93.3%
PHX 106, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.0%
CHI 101, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.32,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.63,0.69,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1	92.8%