NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	6.4 [537]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +18.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	15.1 [181]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -14.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	12	69%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Eddie House	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.01	11	73%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.04	0.06	15	63%	0.09	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.06	0.04	21	55%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Pat Burke	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	9	32%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.14	0.02	33	56%	0.37	6	-0.18	12	58%	-0.07
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.05	0.05	11	54%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.8	28.4	16.5	30.2	2.8	41.1	150.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.8%

PHX -0.7%

CLE +32.6%

PHX -0.4%

CLE +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	13.8	16.2	15.6	110.4	117.7	104.4
season	13.8	16.2		110.2	105.6
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	14.9	13.6	13.3	13.8
CLE	18.3	15.8	16.4	14.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	44	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.21	5	-12	17	13.8	13.8	0.01	16.7	15.7	1.03
Leandro Barbosa	77	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-10	13	13.3	16.1	-2.77	15.8	17.7	-1.89
Pat Burke	9	11	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	0	-7	16.2	13.6	2.64	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Boris Diaw	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	0	-7	13.7	14.1	-0.44	16.9	14.5	2.47
Eddie House	39	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	3	-13	15.1	13.0	2.09	16.8	15.8	1.03
James Jones	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	1	-9	14.0	13.4	0.61	15.4	18.5	-3.06
Steve Nash	78	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	0	-7	13.4	15.5	-2.05	16.2	15.9	0.34
Shawn Marion	96	95	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	13.8	0.0	13.83	16.2	16.0	0.17

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	77	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-10	27	16.5	14.8	1.72	14.1	12.7	1.44
Anderson Varejao	41	41	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-6	19	14.4	17.5	-3.14	12.9	14.5	-1.62
Donyell Marshall	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	0	7	15.7	17.2	-1.43	14.4	12.5	1.89
LeBron James	88	89	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	2	3	15.7	21.2	-5.55	13.5	17.6	-4.03
Damon Jones	65	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-9	25	15.4	17.8	-2.37	14.4	12.7	1.73
Drew Gooden	47	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	3	1	17.6	14.8	2.80	13.9	13.8	0.11
Eric Snow	42	43	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	11	-15	17.6	15.1	2.50	13.1	14.4	-1.30
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	36	38	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	17	-27	17.1	15.6	1.56	13.8	13.9	-0.12
Ira Newble	16	15	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.06	-13	20	-33	16.5	16.1	0.40	13.7	13.9	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, VAN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.95,1,1	92.6%
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.5%
SAC 100, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	92.4%