NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	6.6 [499]		MVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): +12.3%
Atlanta Hawks	110		Comeback	6.0 [152]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -13.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.02	-0.06	20	45%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.10	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	10	25%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	22	53%	-0.01	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	14	41%	-0.10	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	16	74%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.03
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.07	0.01	30	51%	0.14	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	23.8	14.8	24.2	2.8	31.2	123.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +50.0%

ATL +10.1%

SAC -2.2%

SAC -7.8%

SAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.0	15.2	96.2	103.8	101.7
season	13.8	15.4		102.9	99.3
opponent	15.2	14.7		105.1	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	10.1	14.5	14.2	15.4	13.5
ATL	15.1	13.2	13.5	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	47	47	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.03	6	-16	22	11.4	15.2	-3.81	15.1	13.0	2.12
Scot Pollard	18	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-9	8	14.7	13.2	1.54	14.5	13.9	0.66
Jason Williams	81	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-9	8	13.0	15.0	-2.04	13.9	14.2	-0.36
Nick Anderson	71	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	12.4	15.6	-3.20	14.1	13.8	0.27
Peja Stojakovic	44	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-1	-8	14.7	12.5	2.25	12.9	14.8	-1.83
Vlade Divac	75	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-9	8	12.7	15.3	-2.53	14.2	13.3	0.89
Jon Barry	34	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	1	-12	15.5	12.4	3.09	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Darrick Martin	23	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	15.0	13.0	2.04	14.2	13.9	0.36
Chris Webber	78	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	12.4	16.7	-4.32	14.2	13.2	0.98
Tyrone Corbin	13	13	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	16.6	13.0	3.62	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Lawrence Funderburke	36	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	16.7	11.7	4.92	12.7	14.7	-1.95

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	102	99	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-2	14	14.0	13.7	0.23	13.3	16.8	-3.52
Lorenzen Wright	33	32	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-2	14	13.1	14.4	-1.23	14.8	12.8	1.97
Dikembe Mutombo	94	93	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	3	4	14.3	11.2	3.07	13.5	13.0	0.51
Jason Terry	44	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	0	10	13.3	14.4	-1.08	14.7	12.6	2.08
Roshown McLeod	29	29	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	14.1	13.9	0.23	14.9	12.9	2.05
Jim Jackson	83	82	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	9	-8	13.9	14.2	-0.26	13.2	14.3	-1.04
Bimbo Coles	64	63	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	8	-6	14.4	13.3	1.06	12.6	14.8	-2.15
Alan Henderson	81	80	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	13	-16	13.9	14.2	-0.25	12.8	15.7	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.4%
CLE 89, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
IND 92, POR 97	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.95,1	92.4%