NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	6.1 [612]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +31.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	6.1 [348]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -17.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	15	67%	0.15	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	87%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	13	39%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	0.00	18	39%	-0.03	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.17	0.02	14	77%	0.36	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.09	-0.02	20	50%	0.15	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.02	14	54%	0.06	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Armon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	14	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	29.0	15.5	26.6	2.8	38.2	141.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +30.8%

IND -2.1%

POR +8.5%

POR +14.0%

IND -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	13.5	17.0	15.5	95.8	104.3	105.7
season	14.7	16.5		103.1	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	10.9	15.1	15.2	13.5	13.5
POR	15.8	18.4	15.5	18.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	44	44	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.18	13	-18	31	12.7	14.3	-1.63	16.5	17.4	-0.84
Paul George	15	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-5	5	15.7	13.1	2.52	16.8	17.0	-0.23
Roy Hibbert	60	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-4	3	13.3	13.9	-0.60	16.4	17.9	-1.46
Jeff Foster	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-9	13	14.3	13.2	1.10	17.9	16.6	1.37
Darren Collison	76	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-6	7	13.1	15.0	-1.91	16.4	19.1	-2.69
James Posey	39	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	4	-13	14.3	13.0	1.25	16.9	17.0	-0.08
Solomon Jones	7	7	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	2	-9	14.0	13.5	0.49	20.0	16.7	3.28
A.J. Price	20	19	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	1	-7	15.0	13.1	1.91	19.1	16.4	2.69
Mike Dunleavy	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	12.7	16.7	-4.06	17.0	17.0	-0.04
Brandon Rush	47	43	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	9	-23	14.8	12.4	2.40	17.8	16.3	1.53
Danny Granger	69	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	-2	-1	13.2	14.4	-1.26	16.6	18.0	-1.47

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	90	92	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	16.8	20.7	-3.82	13.5	15.2	-1.78
Rudy Fernandez	69	70	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	17.1	16.5	0.57	14.2	11.8	2.38
Nicolas Batum	83	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.35	4	1	3	17.3	13.9	3.44	13.6	12.9	0.71
Wesley Matthews	83	87	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	-2	9	16.7	19.6	-2.95	13.3	15.4	-2.10
Dante Cunningham	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	5	-5	17.1	16.7	0.45	14.2	12.5	1.72
Patty Mills	29	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-3	11	16.2	17.3	-1.06	12.4	14.0	-1.62
Joel Przybilla	36	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	4	-3	16.7	17.1	-0.45	12.5	14.2	-1.72
Andre Miller	6	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	7	-9	18.0	16.9	1.10	9.0	13.9	-4.90
Sean Marks	3	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	20.7	16.8	3.82	15.2	13.5	1.78
Armon Johnson	9	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	12	-19	17.0	17.0	0.04	16.5	13.2	3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%
SAC 100, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	92.4%
SEA 106, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.48,0.49,0.62,0.63,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.78,0.92,1	92.2%