NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	6.1 [621]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +18.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	7.1 [180]		LVP	Arron Afflalo (ORL): -17.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	6	100%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.03	10	67%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.06	0.02	0.05	9	72%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	10	52%	-0.02	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	14	35%	-0.11	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.11	0.04	13	66%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.05,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.04	0.09	-0.05	23	47%	0.14	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	8	73%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.0	26.2	15.6	21.0	2.5	35.3	123.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +1.5%

MIL +14.8%

MIL +7.1%

MIL +25.0%

MIL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.1	101.0	109.4	105.2
season	15.3	15.7		100.4	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	16.2	15.8	12.9	14.9
MIL	17.6	13.8	14.9	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	42	41	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-15	23	14.1	15.5	-1.45	15.5	14.5	1.02
Maurice Harkless	68	67	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-15	23	14.7	15.4	-0.76	15.9	12.6	3.30
Jameer Nelson	60	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-9	11	14.2	16.1	-1.88	15.3	14.3	1.02
Arron Afflalo	70	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-7	7	14.4	16.2	-1.76	15.1	14.4	0.70
Nikola Vucevic	61	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-7	7	14.7	15.3	-0.62	15.3	14.3	1.01
E'Twaun Moore	39	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-4	1	13.8	15.7	-1.92	14.1	15.5	-1.48
Andrew Nicholson	31	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	6	-19	15.9	14.4	1.50	14.3	15.2	-0.97
Victor Oladipo	38	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	2	-11	15.9	14.3	1.56	14.3	15.3	-1.02
Doron Lamb	25	25	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	7	-21	17.1	14.2	2.91	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Tobias Harris	51	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	7	-21	16.2	13.5	2.65	13.9	16.1	-2.15

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	87	88	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.16	18	-11	29	14.7	16.8	-2.04	15.2	12.1	3.09
Khris Middleton	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-4	15	15.3	13.9	1.41	14.7	15.4	-0.71
John Henson	60	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	1	5	14.2	16.1	-1.81	15.4	14.1	1.28
Ramon Sessions	55	56	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	1	5	13.9	16.4	-2.51	14.2	15.9	-1.71
Giannis Antetokounmpo	57	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	3	1	13.8	16.5	-2.67	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Ersan Ilyasova	63	65	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.25	12	-5	17	14.4	15.9	-1.54	15.4	14.0	1.32
Nate Wolters	38	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	3	1	16.8	13.7	3.13	15.4	14.7	0.71
Zaza Pachulia	33	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	8	-9	17.2	13.7	3.53	15.2	14.8	0.45
O.J. Mayo	9	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.14	-11	18	-29	16.8	14.7	2.04	12.1	15.2	-3.09
Jeff Adrien	10	10	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.17	-14	21	-35	16.8	14.7	2.09	13.0	15.1	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 92, POR 97	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.95,1	93.7%
IND 96, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.84,1	91.8%
MIL 90, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1	91.4%