NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	7.3 [336]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +20.2%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	6.0 [535]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -17.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	72%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.1	0.05	0.07	0.02	28	52%	0.10	0	0.00	11	100%	0.10
Rashard Lewis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Brent Barry	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	6	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	9	5%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.11	0.03	21	71%	0.29	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	12	68%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.01	4	64%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.13	0.11	-0.03	13	42%	0.11	4	-0.10	7	71%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	71%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	14	44%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.8	15.8	32.1	1.7	35.2	139.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +49.1%

SEA -16.5%

DAL +10.0%

SEA -2.8%

DAL +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	15.5	112.8	116.0	101.6
season	16.5	15.1		101.7	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		102.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.1	15.8	16.7	15.6	16.1
DAL	14.6	15.5	12.6	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	53	52	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-7	11	16.6	15.4	1.15	14.6	14.6	0.01
Calvin Booth	27	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-9	15	16.3	16.0	0.27	16.5	13.8	2.73
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-6	9	15.6	17.1	-1.52	14.4	15.0	-0.67
Reggie Evans	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	8	-19	16.8	14.8	2.01	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Predrag Drobnjak	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	1	-5	15.6	16.6	-1.04	13.7	15.6	-1.94
Kevin Ollie	71	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-2	1	15.9	16.7	-0.84	15.3	12.5	2.84
Brent Barry	58	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	1	-5	15.9	16.3	-0.44	14.6	14.5	0.19
Ray Allen	87	88	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	5	-13	16.1	15.6	0.53	14.4	16.8	-2.41

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	41	43	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-9	21	14.5	14.6	-0.15	16.6	15.6	1.00
Steve Nash	72	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-9	21	14.8	13.9	0.93	16.2	15.5	0.72
Nick Van Exel	67	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	14.6	14.5	0.08	16.0	16.3	-0.34
Raef LaFrentz	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	5	-7	14.7	14.5	0.23	16.7	15.3	1.36
Dirk Nowitzki	89	89	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	1	1	14.5	16.4	-1.93	16.1	14.6	1.55
Shawn Bradley	45	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	-4	11	14.5	14.7	-0.21	16.2	15.9	0.31
Adrian Griffin	35	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	4	-5	15.1	14.3	0.86	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Michael Finley	25	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	6	-9	13.9	14.8	-0.95	16.8	15.8	0.98
Raja Bell	26	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	10	-17	14.3	14.7	-0.32	15.0	16.5	-1.52
Walt Williams	9	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	16.2	14.4	1.82	12.5	16.4	-3.90
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	11	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	10	-17	13.2	14.8	-1.58	14.7	16.2	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.48,0.49,0.62,0.63,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.7%
IND 92, POR 97	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.95,1	92.2%
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	92.0%