NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	6.3 [566]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +23.7%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	5.9 [411]		LVP	Dan Dickau (BOS): -13.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.08	-0.03	18	61%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.05	0.03	21	69%	0.23	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Orien Greene	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	13	54%	0.02	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	33%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.10	0.02	16	64%	0.26	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.01	5	73%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.05	0.04	22	54%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.02	21	44%	0.08	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	25.6	15.7	27.2	2.5	30.5	127.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -5.3%

DET +27.3%

DET +13.0%

DET +19.4%

BOS -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	15.4	15.6	107.5	121.1	104.4
season	14.8	16.9		103.3	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.8		101.4	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.3	13.4	15.6	14.9	15.3
DET	14.0	17.2	16.3	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	22	23	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-20	25	15.1	15.3	-0.25	16.8	14.9	1.94
Kendrick Perkins	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	8.3	15.5	-7.18	13.0	15.4	-2.43
Orien Greene	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	8.3	15.5	-7.18	13.0	15.4	-2.43
Ryan Gomes	29	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-10	5	16.0	15.0	1.00	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Ricky Davis	79	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-13	11	14.9	17.6	-2.70	16.2	9.8	6.47
Delonte West	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-2	-11	15.2	15.4	-0.13	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Justin Reed	9	9	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-5	-5	15.2	15.3	-0.06	13.0	15.6	-2.60
Al Jefferson	30	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-14	13	16.6	14.7	1.90	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Dan Dickau	34	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-16	17	15.5	15.2	0.30	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Raef LaFrentz	57	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-5	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.45	15.7	14.8	0.93
Mark Blount	64	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.12	-15	0	-15	16.0	13.8	2.16	15.2	15.7	-0.57
Paul Pierce	75	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.15	-25	10	-35	15.3	15.0	0.35	15.0	16.7	-1.76

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	82	82	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.05	27	-12	39	14.9	18.2	-3.24	15.3	15.3	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	82	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-4	23	14.9	18.0	-3.06	15.6	13.5	2.09
Antonio McDyess	20	20	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	5	5	16.3	15.1	1.26	16.2	15.0	1.24
Carlos Arroyo	21	20	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	6	3	15.9	15.2	0.64	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Richard Hamilton	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	4	7	16.8	10.5	6.32	14.4	18.2	-3.82
Maurice Evans	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	11	-7	10.5	16.8	-6.32	18.2	14.4	3.82
Chauncey Billups	74	73	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.13	6	9	-3	15.2	15.9	-0.64	15.4	15.0	0.36
Jason Maxiell	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	13.0	15.4	-2.43	8.3	15.5	-7.18
Ben Wallace	73	74	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.26	8	7	1	16.2	12.6	3.54	14.5	18.2	-3.68
Darko Milicic	11	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	19	-23	12.9	15.7	-2.77	18.4	14.9	3.50
Carlos Delfino	14	12	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.10	-15	30	-45	17.1	15.0	2.09	15.6	15.2	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%
SEA 106, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.48,0.49,0.62,0.63,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.78,0.92,1	93.7%
ORL 94, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%