NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	110		Excitement	6.4 [555]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +22.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	121		Comeback	15.6 [47]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -13.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.06	0.04	14	87%	0.34	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	15	59%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Marreese Speights	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.03	0.05	15	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	12	33%	-0.15
Blake Griffin	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	11	37%	-0.04	6	-0.10	10	60%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.08	0.02	10	83%	0.21	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.00	0.00	11	78%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	117%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	15	47%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	7	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
TJ McConnell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	33.6	15.4	28.4	2.5	36.4	144.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.4%

PHI +8.3%

LAC -13.2%

PHI +39.5%

PHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	14.8	111.1	123.5	107.7
season	15.0	14.5		110.8	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.8		107.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	13.7	16.2	15.6	15.1
PHI	14.4	13.5	13.8	15.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	59	59	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-14	17	15.5	14.6	0.88	14.2	14.0	0.26
Luc Mbah a Moute	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-7	3	15.6	14.8	0.71	14.5	13.9	0.58
Brandon Bass	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-11	11	14.2	15.4	-1.21	14.2	14.1	0.14
Wesley Johnson	27	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-8	5	13.4	15.7	-2.33	13.8	14.3	-0.49
JJ Redick	72	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-6	1	14.8	15.8	-0.93	14.3	13.6	0.76
Marreese Speights	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	16.8	14.5	2.36	13.5	14.4	-0.86
DeAndre Jordan	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	15.1	15.1	0.02	14.4	13.6	0.79
Austin Rivers	82	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-2	-7	14.9	16.0	-1.09	14.4	13.1	1.34
Raymond Felton	34	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	1	-13	15.9	14.7	1.19	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Jamal Crawford	69	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	1	-13	15.0	15.4	-0.43	13.5	15.6	-2.16

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	41	41	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.13	22	-11	33	13.5	14.6	-1.02	15.8	14.6	1.12
Dario Saric	54	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-4	19	14.1	14.2	-0.13	14.4	15.9	-1.48
Robert Covington	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-2	15	14.2	14.0	0.17	15.4	14.2	1.15
Gerald Henderson	44	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-1	13	14.0	14.3	-0.32	15.4	14.8	0.62
Richaun Holmes	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	-2	15	13.2	14.7	-1.46	15.8	14.7	1.12
Nerlens Noel	60	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	13	-15	14.7	13.2	1.46	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Nik Stauskas	48	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	13	-15	14.9	13.4	1.58	14.9	15.3	-0.32
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	12	-13	12.9	14.6	-1.69	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Ersan Ilyasova	44	46	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	15	-19	14.2	14.1	0.13	15.9	14.4	1.48
TJ McConnell	57	58	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.05	-11	22	-33	14.6	13.5	1.02	14.6	15.8	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 100, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	94.2%
NJN 112, GSW 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	92.6%