NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	5.9 [661]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +17.1%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	8.0 [261]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -25.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.07	0.08	14	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
JJ Redick	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.13	0.05	0.01	6	93%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Diener	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	6	61%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	12	41%	-0.03	4	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	0.01	0.02	6	38%	-0.01	4	-0.10	9	44%	-0.07
Dwight Howard	-0.25	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.07	-0.01	6	7%	-0.09	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.01	15	53%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.06	0.04	23	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	53%	0.08	2	-0.03	12	75%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	16	48%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	30.8	15.0	25.6	1.8	38.3	139.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +18.1%

ORL -0.4%

NJN +6.9%

NJN +31.7%

ORL -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.4	102.2	107.4	104.5
season	15.9	15.4		103.4	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.0	16.8	18.5	13.7	16.3
NJN	15.8	16.7	13.6	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	38	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	0	-7	17.5	15.5	1.96	16.5	13.3	3.17
Darko Milicic	50	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-11	15	15.5	17.3	-1.77	12.4	17.2	-4.83
Keith Bogans	40	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	1	-9	17.2	15.7	1.50	14.5	14.8	-0.34
Jameer Nelson	64	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	15.5	18.1	-2.56	14.6	14.7	-0.07
Carlos Arroyo	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-5	3	17.8	15.2	2.64	15.4	14.1	1.25
Pat Garrity	29	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-7	7	19.0	15.1	3.85	15.1	14.4	0.65
JJ Redick	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-6	5	15.2	17.3	-2.18	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Hedo Turkoglu	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	15.4	19.1	-3.73	14.0	16.4	-2.32
Travis Diener	43	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-8	9	14.9	17.6	-2.62	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Dwight Howard	46	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	6	-19	17.5	15.2	2.30	16.7	12.6	4.13

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	72	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-9	25	15.8	10.9	4.96	16.7	15.0	1.74
Eddie House	49	47	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-3	13	14.6	14.8	-0.23	15.6	17.1	-1.49
Clifford Robinson	60	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-2	11	15.5	13.2	2.23	16.6	15.8	0.74
Mikki Moore	37	37	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-8	23	14.9	14.5	0.34	19.6	14.1	5.42
Vince Carter	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	15.1	13.1	2.01	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Jason Kidd	73	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	-2	11	16.1	9.7	6.43	17.0	14.1	2.89
Antoine Wright	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	2.3	15.5	-13.17	6.5	17.0	-10.51
Hassan Adams	2	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	2.0	14.9	-12.93	4.5	16.6	-12.09
Jason Collins	36	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	6	-5	16.1	13.8	2.31	17.2	15.7	1.47
Bostjan Nachbar	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	12	-17	13.5	15.2	-1.70	16.9	16.1	0.76
Marcus Williams	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	15	-23	8.5	16.0	-7.48	12.3	17.2	-4.95
Josh Boone	17	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.18	-13	20	-33	9.6	15.8	-6.19	12.7	17.1	-4.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 100, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
VAN 78, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.9%